Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 64%
$3.2K
-$37.85
Smart Money Signal
16 of 25 top traders (64%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 97.7¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$31.2 | 57% 4476-3317 (7793) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 85¢ | $169.85 | $171 | +$1.15 | 46% 576-676 (1252) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 75.8¢ | $134.76 | $159.5 | +$24.74 | 54% 3852-3222 (7074) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 64.2¢ | $147.56 | $141 | -$6.36 | 53% 1264-1138 (2402) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 48.8¢ | $117.28 | — | -$117.28 | 48% 2064-2270 (4334) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 70¢ | $73.59 | $100 | +$26.41 | 59% 2906-2005 (4911) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 70¢ | $70 | $100 | +$30 | 46% 1152-1359 (2511) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 81.8¢ | $49.4 | $60.37 | +$10.97 | 55% 1208-984 (2192) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $23.8 | $35 | +$11.2 | 48% 1183-1263 (2446) |
![]() gabigol<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $33.37 | $35.5 | +$2.13 | 53% 166-147 (313) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 78.2¢ | $22.27 | $28.47 | +$6.2 | 49% 570-602 (1172) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $12.72 | $19.07 | +$6.35 | 67% 2047-1024 (3071) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $10.4 | $20 | +$9.6 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $7.97 | — | -$7.97 | 37% 417-704 (1121) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.7¢ | $8.13 | — | -$8.13 | 50% 3956-3972 (7928) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $6.58 | $7.15 | +$0.57 | 47% 1342-1509 (2851) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.85 | $5.45 | +$0.6 | 62% 1422-863 (2285) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $5.07 | — | -$5.07 | 53% 905-797 (1702) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.3¢ | $29.52 | — | -$29.52 | 46% 731-854 (1585) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 37% 585-985 (1570) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.9¢ | $7.37 | — | -$7.37 | 47% 731-834 (1565) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $12.64 | — | -$12.64 | 49% 271-280 (551) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.3¢ | $1.64 | — | -$1.64 | 52% 3955-3700 (7655) |
Invested
$1,305.13
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$31.2
Record
57%
4476-3317 (7793)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$169.85
Value
$171
PnL
+$1.15
Record
46%
576-676 (1252)
Invested
$134.76
Value
$159.5
PnL
+$24.74
Record
54%
3852-3222 (7074)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$147.56
Value
$141
PnL
-$6.36
Record
53%
1264-1138 (2402)
Invested
$117.28
Value
—
PnL
-$117.28
Record
48%
2064-2270 (4334)
Invested
$73.59
Value
$100
PnL
+$26.41
Record
59%
2906-2005 (4911)
Invested
$70
Value
$100
PnL
+$30
Record
46%
1152-1359 (2511)
Invested
$49.4
Value
$60.37
PnL
+$10.97
Record
55%
1208-984 (2192)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.8
Value
$35
PnL
+$11.2
Record
48%
1183-1263 (2446)
gabigol<$100Invested
$33.37
Value
$35.5
PnL
+$2.13
Record
53%
166-147 (313)
Invested
$22.27
Value
$28.47
PnL
+$6.2
Record
49%
570-602 (1172)
Invested
$12.72
Value
$19.07
PnL
+$6.35
Record
67%
2047-1024 (3071)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.6
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)
Invested
$7.97
Value
—
PnL
-$7.97
Record
37%
417-704 (1121)
Invested
$8.13
Value
—
PnL
-$8.13
Record
50%
3956-3972 (7928)
Invested
$6.58
Value
$7.15
PnL
+$0.57
Record
47%
1342-1509 (2851)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5.45
PnL
+$0.6
Record
62%
1422-863 (2285)
Invested
$5.07
Value
—
PnL
-$5.07
Record
53%
905-797 (1702)
Invested
$29.52
Value
—
PnL
-$29.52
Record
46%
731-854 (1585)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
37%
585-985 (1570)
Invested
$7.37
Value
—
PnL
-$7.37
Record
47%
731-834 (1565)
Invested
$12.64
Value
—
PnL
-$12.64
Record
49%
271-280 (551)
Invested
$1.64
Value
—
PnL
-$1.64
Record
52%
3955-3700 (7655)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Up — $1.3K
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
CrouchPredictions
Up — $171
stepahead
Up — $159.5

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $141
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $100
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $100
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $60.37