Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 89%

Total Value

$8.1K

Combined PnL

$465.68

Smart Money Signal

34 of 39 top traders (87%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up34 traders

Total Value$8.1K

Total Shares8,123

Combined PnL+$530.76

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares688

Combined PnL-$65.08

Up — 87%Down — 13%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$13.06	98% 2057-41 (2098)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 78.8¢	$899.23	$960.71	+$61.48	46% 534-630 (1164)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 83.6¢	$955.93	$751.39	+$36.05	60% 2757-1855 (4612)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$637.24	$637.88	+$0.64	47% 727-804 (1531)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.2¢	$518.75	$495	-$8.62	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 72¢	$486.51	$451.63	-$34.89	57% 4432-3287 (7719)
BO bosona	Upavg 75¢	$375.64	$500	+$124.36	50% 3912-3912 (7824)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 53.7¢	$270.5	$325.9	+$120.44	35% 182-334 (516)
ST stepahead	Upavg 72.6¢	$277.79	$274.2	-$3.59	54% 3796-3185 (6981)
MO mo-money	Upavg 80.9¢	$630.64	$198.27	+$67.63	46% 686-795 (1481)
DE devonpoll	Upavg 51.7¢	$189.11	$191.68	+$2.57	49% 201-206 (407)
AL almach	Upavg 70.1¢	$187.57	$267.4	+$79.83	47% 685-774 (1459)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 75.3¢	$154.71	$160	+$5.29	49% 541-568 (1109)
LI Little-big	Upavg 77.4¢	$101.4	$131.08	+$29.68	53% 540-472 (1012)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 79.1¢	$84.09	$106.35	+$22.27	51% 1380-1304 (2684)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 50¢	$100	$100	+$0	53% 1174-1043 (2217)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 90.2¢	$115.45	$101.72	-$13.73	50% 977-986 (1963)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 71.7¢	$90.39	$84.82	+$7.33	47% 1112-1258 (2370)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Upavg 65.8¢	$95.75	$84.29	-$11.47	49% 247-260 (507)
ohioism	Upavg 82.5¢	$117.78	$80	-$33.73	48% 1088-1178 (2266)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 72.7¢	$51.3	$70.54	+$19.24	55% 1115-909 (2024)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 63.4¢	$82.27	$75.04	-$7.23	67% 1888-951 (2839)
PL ply-pm4<$100	Upavg 50.9¢	$73.78	$55.99	+$15.24	17% 70-340 (410)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 82¢	$41	$50	+$9	47% 623-690 (1313)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,292.61

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$13.06

Record

98%

2057-41 (2098)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$899.23

Value

$960.71

PnL

+$61.48

Record

46%

534-630 (1164)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$955.93

Value

$751.39

PnL

+$36.05

Record

60%

2757-1855 (4612)

0x50f7

Invested

$637.24

Value

$637.88

PnL

+$0.64

Record

47%

727-804 (1531)

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

ByteBadger92

Invested

$518.75

Value

$495

PnL

-$8.62

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$486.51

Value

$451.63

PnL

-$34.89

Record

57%

4432-3287 (7719)

bosona

Invested

$375.64

Value

$500

PnL

+$124.36

Record

50%

3912-3912 (7824)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$270.5

Value

$325.9

PnL

+$120.44

Record

35%

182-334 (516)

stepahead

Invested

$277.79

Value

$274.2

PnL

-$3.59

Record

54%

3796-3185 (6981)

mo-money

Invested

$630.64

Value

$198.27

PnL

+$67.63

Record

46%

686-795 (1481)

devonpoll

Invested

$189.11

Value

$191.68

PnL

+$2.57

Record

49%

201-206 (407)

almach

Invested

$187.57

Value

$267.4

PnL

+$79.83

Record

47%

685-774 (1459)

peepeepoopoo24

Invested

$154.71

Value

$160

PnL

+$5.29

Record

49%

541-568 (1109)

Little-big

Invested

$101.4

Value

$131.08

PnL

+$29.68

Record

53%

540-472 (1012)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$84.09

Value

$106.35

PnL

+$22.27

Record

51%

1380-1304 (2684)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1174-1043 (2217)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$115.45

Value

$101.72

PnL

-$13.73

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$90.39

Value

$84.82

PnL

+$7.33

Record

47%

1112-1258 (2370)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$95.75

Value

$84.29

PnL

-$11.47

Record

49%

247-260 (507)

ohioism

Invested

$117.78

Value

$80

PnL

-$33.73

Record

48%

1088-1178 (2266)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$51.3

Value

$70.54

PnL

+$19.24

Record

55%

1115-909 (2024)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$82.27

Value

$75.04

PnL

-$7.23

Record

67%

1888-951 (2839)

ply-pm4<$100

Invested

$73.78

Value

$55.99

PnL

+$15.24

Record

17%

70-340 (410)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$41

Value

$50

PnL

+$9

Record

47%

623-690 (1313)

Smart Money Signal

34 of 39 top traders (87%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2772e83a...f8c999

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794456000

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$13.06

CrouchPredictions

Up — $960.71

+$61.48

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $751.39

+$36.05

0x50f7

Up — $637.88

+$0.64

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0

ByteBadger92

Up — $495

-$8.62

Hcrystallash

Up — $451.63

-$34.89

bosona

Up — $500

+$124.36

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Up — $325.9

+$120.44

stepahead

Up — $274.2

-$3.59

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