Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Up 82%
1 arb excluded
$4.2K
$95.8
Smart Money Signal
27 of 33 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $745.41 | $945.68 | +$200.27 | 35% 179-332 (511) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 84.9¢ | $554.91 | $553.13 | -$1.78 | 46% 527-617 (1144) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $530.21 | $535.57 | +$5.36 | 98% 1917-39 (1956) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 68.5¢ | $282.45 | $296 | +$13.55 | 57% 4421-3277 (7698) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 67.5¢ | $253.8 | $375.77 | +$121.97 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 78¢ | $265.75 | $245.13 | -$20.61 | — |
ST stepahead | Upavg 71.2¢ | $233.85 | $236.75 | +$2.91 | 54% 3785-3176 (6961) |
DE devonpollARB<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $244.33 | $202.93 | +$8.45 | — |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.5¢ | $120.72 | $202.93 | +$98.45 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $90 | — | -$90 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 25.5¢ | $243.85 | — | -$243.85 | 60% 2627-1728 (4355) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 86.3¢ | $98 | $105 | +$7 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 80.3¢ | $72.6 | $80 | +$7.4 | — |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $69.6 | $70 | +$0.4 | 53% 1148-1015 (2163) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 74.7¢ | $62.3 | $77.24 | +$14.94 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 78.9¢ | $40 | $50.7 | +$10.7 | — |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $46.94 | $48.85 | +$1.9 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $45.25 | $50 | +$4.75 | 43% 227-296 (523) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $43.05 | $43.09 | +$0.04 | 47% 629-703 (1332) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $29.32 | $42.52 | +$13.2 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 87.3¢ | $32.3 | $37 | +$4.7 | 52% 12-11 (23) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 90.7¢ | $33.27 | $36.67 | +$3.4 | 52% 3819-3574 (7393) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $27.57 | $33.06 | +$5.49 | — |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.2¢ | $46.8 | — | -$46.8 | 47% 668-756 (1424) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 81.3¢ | $26.4 | $30 | +$3.6 | 47% 604-672 (1276) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $22.3 | $30 | +$7.7 | 49% 1034-1095 (2129) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 63.3¢ | $64.71 | $20.41 | +$3.51 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
Invested
$745.41
Value
$945.68
PnL
+$200.27
Record
35%
179-332 (511)
Invested
$554.91
Value
$553.13
PnL
-$1.78
Record
46%
527-617 (1144)
Invested
$530.21
Value
$535.57
PnL
+$5.36
Record
98%
1917-39 (1956)
Invested
$282.45
Value
$296
PnL
+$13.55
Record
57%
4421-3277 (7698)
Invested
$253.8
Value
$375.77
PnL
+$121.97
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
Invested
$265.75
Value
$245.13
PnL
-$20.61
Record
—
Invested
$233.85
Value
$236.75
PnL
+$2.91
Record
54%
3785-3176 (6961)
Invested
$244.33
Value
$202.93
PnL
+$8.45
Record
—
Both legs:
Invested
$243.85
Value
—
PnL
-$243.85
Record
60%
2627-1728 (4355)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$98
Value
$105
PnL
+$7
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
Invested
$72.6
Value
$80
PnL
+$7.4
Record
—
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$69.6
Value
$70
PnL
+$0.4
Record
53%
1148-1015 (2163)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$62.3
Value
$77.24
PnL
+$14.94
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
Invested
$40
Value
$50.7
PnL
+$10.7
Record
—
Invested
$46.94
Value
$48.85
PnL
+$1.9
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
Invested
$45.25
Value
$50
PnL
+$4.75
Record
43%
227-296 (523)
Invested
$43.05
Value
$43.09
PnL
+$0.04
Record
47%
629-703 (1332)
Invested
$29.32
Value
$42.52
PnL
+$13.2
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
Invested
$32.3
Value
$37
PnL
+$4.7
Record
52%
12-11 (23)
Invested
$33.27
Value
$36.67
PnL
+$3.4
Record
52%
3819-3574 (7393)
Invested
$27.57
Value
$33.06
PnL
+$5.49
Record
—
Invested
$46.8
Value
—
PnL
-$46.8
Record
47%
668-756 (1424)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.6
Record
47%
604-672 (1276)
ohioism<$100Invested
$22.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.7
Record
49%
1034-1095 (2129)
Invested
$64.71
Value
$20.41
PnL
+$3.51
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Up — $945.68
CrouchPredictions
Up — $553.13
hoodquant
Up — $535.57
Hcrystallash
Up — $296
uninformedfloww
Up — $375.77
aswfadq1555
Up — $245.13
stepahead
Up — $236.75
devonpoll
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $105