Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 40%

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$931.72

Smart Money Signal

Down

15 of 37 top traders (41%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down15 traders

Total Value$2.7K

Total Shares2,685

Combined PnL+$330.82

Up22 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,771

Combined PnL$-1.3K

Down — 41%Up — 59%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$887.9	$888.79	+$0.89	47% 629-703 (1332)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 69.1¢	$424.15	$613.78	+$189.63	60% 2627-1728 (4355)
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 41.7¢	$447.37	$560.8	+$140.73	57% 4421-3277 (7698)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Upavg 70¢	$354.52	—	-$354.52	46% 527-617 (1144)
MO mo-moneyCTR	Upavg 9.8¢	$139.59	—	-$139.59	46% 669-781 (1450)
ST stepahead	Downavg 65.2¢	$244.06	$207.84	-$36.23	54% 3785-3176 (6961)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$174.93	$176.7	+$1.77	98% 1917-39 (1956)
AS aswfadq1555CTR	Upavg 37.7¢	$229.71	—	-$229.71	—
BoneOhioCTR	Upavg 70¢	$105	—	-$105	74% 773-277 (1050)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 79.4¢	$70.45	$66.56	+$1.35	66% 1796-933 (2729)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 13.2¢	$85.57	—	-$85.57	47% 668-756 (1424)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100	Downavg 82¢	$41	$50	+$9	35% 179-332 (511)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 57¢	$41.02	—	-$41.02	52% 725-659 (1384)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Upavg 9¢	$66.84	—	-$66.84	50% 3891-3897 (7788)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Upavg 54.6¢	$39	—	-$39	44% 89-114 (203)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 70.1¢	$46.36	—	-$46.36	52% 3819-3574 (7393)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 94¢	$28.2	$30	+$1.8	—
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 52.6¢	$21.57	—	-$21.57	—
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100	Upavg 41.2¢	$51.96	—	-$51.96	—
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 61.7¢	$15.76	$20.75	+$4.99	46% 569-681 (1250)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 83.2¢	$18.85	$17.85	+$0.09	61% 1255-809 (2064)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 48.8¢	$17.75	$24.72	+$8.55	62% 2042-1276 (3318)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 59.1¢	$10.68	—	-$10.68	43% 227-296 (523)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100	Downavg 92¢	$7.36	$8	+$0.64	52% 12-11 (23)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$7.17	—	-$7.17	44% 1012-1265 (2277)