Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 62%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$428.35

Smart Money Signal

16 of 26 top traders (62%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up16 traders

Total Value$2.3K

Total Shares2,256

Combined PnL+$337.24

Down10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,268

Combined PnL-$765.58

Up — 62%Down — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 77.8¢	$596.34	$766.87	+$170.53	60% 2617-1724 (4341)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$686.07	$693	+$6.93	98% 1899-39 (1938)
7E 0x7e5d...c4c3CTR	Downavg 40.9¢	$438.06	—	-$438.06	—
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 59.1¢	$349.65	$319.2	-$30.46	46% 519-610 (1129)
AL almachARB<$100	Downavg 22¢	$168.83	$132.53	-$36.3	47% 654-750 (1404)
└ Down leg	Downavg 22¢	$133.43	—	-$133.43
└ Up leg	Upavg 26.7¢	$35.4	$132.53	+$97.13
BoneOhioARB<$100	Downavg 56¢	$117	$75	-$42	73% 753-272 (1025)
└ Down leg	Downavg 56¢	$84	—	-$84
└ Up leg	Upavg 44¢	$33	$75	+$42
HC HcrystallashCTR	Downavg 44.9¢	$183.21	—	-$143.26	57% 4408-3274 (7682)
BO bosonaARB<$100	Downavg 14.2¢	$62.77	$66.7	+$3.93	50% 3878-3890 (7768)
└ Up leg	Upavg 31.3¢	$20.9	$66.7	+$45.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 14.2¢	$41.87	—	-$41.87
42 0x424e...263b<$100	Upavg 44.3¢	$37.65	$85	+$47.35	—
ST stepaheadCTR<$100	Downavg 47.4¢	$77.17	—	-$77.17	54% 3778-3168 (6946)
MO mo-moneyARB<$100	Downavg 20¢	$43.45	$50.51	+$7.06	46% 656-776 (1432)
└ Up leg	Upavg 33.7¢	$17	$50.51	+$33.51
└ Down leg	Downavg 20¢	$26.45	—	-$26.45
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 40.5¢	$48.04	—	-$38.54	53% 1134-1003 (2137)
82 0x828b...a12b<$100	Upavg 47.2¢	$26.55	$45	+$21.71	—
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100	Upavg 87¢	$45	$51.72	+$6.72	35% 179-329 (508)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 56¢	$41	—	-$41	44% 990-1249 (2239)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 43.1¢	$39.68	$92	+$52.32	48% 1014-1081 (2095)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 44¢	$13.2	$30	+$16.8	52% 3801-3556 (7357)
CE 0xce25...7fdc<$100	Upavg 47¢	$13.44	$28.6	+$15.16	—
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 54.9¢	$25.47	$25.48	+$7.56	66% 1776-921 (2697)
5D 0x5d4a...55d3<$100	Upavg 96.7¢	$24.25	$25.07	+$0.82	—
14 0x1404...de47<$100	Upavg 80¢	$21	$20	-$1	—
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 58.1¢	$66.42	$23	-$6.08	62% 2020-1262 (3282)
BA 0xba67...4727<$100	Upavg 43.4¢	$10.85	$25	+$14.15	—
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 19¢	$9.5	—	-$9.5	49% 767-785 (1552)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 44.5¢	$8.9	$20	+$11.1	47% 593-667 (1260)