Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 54%
1 arb excluded
$4.4K
-$68.3
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 67¢ | $2.9K | $2.9K | +$91.4 | 50% 1269-1265 (2534) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $521.72 | $527.14 | +$5.42 | 98% 1855-39 (1894) |
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100 | Downavg 35.9¢ | $345.56 | $236.88 | -$108.68 | 46% 502-596 (1098) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.8¢ | $122.78 | $236.88 | +$114.11 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 35.9¢ | $222.78 | — | -$222.78 | |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 70.9¢ | $177.2 | $203 | +$25.8 | 57% 4386-3257 (7643) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 57.7¢ | $188.27 | $197.4 | +$9.14 | 46% 632-753 (1385) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 96.9¢ | $215.99 | $171.01 | -$15.88 | 53% 1101-972 (2073) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 56¢ | $125.95 | $113.23 | -$12.71 | 54% 3758-3156 (6914) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $33.4 | $41.75 | +$8.35 | 46% 624-735 (1359) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $37.5 | — | -$37.5 | 67% 1661-813 (2474) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $8.81 | — | -$8.81 | 60% 2603-1711 (4314) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $18.2 | — | -$18.2 | 44% 955-1216 (2171) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $1.57 | — | -$1.57 | 48% 980-1048 (2028) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 10.4¢ | $118.63 | — | -$118.63 | 50% 732-740 (1472) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 52% 3766-3522 (7288) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $26.4 | — | +$5.9 | 58% 1973-1454 (3427) |
Invested
$2,886.48
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$91.4
Record
50%
1269-1265 (2534)
Invested
$521.72
Value
$527.14
PnL
+$5.42
Record
98%
1855-39 (1894)
Invested
$345.56
Value
$236.88
PnL
-$108.68
Record
46%
502-596 (1098)
Both legs:
Invested
$177.2
Value
$203
PnL
+$25.8
Record
57%
4386-3257 (7643)
Invested
$188.27
Value
$197.4
PnL
+$9.14
Record
46%
632-753 (1385)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$215.99
Value
$171.01
PnL
-$15.88
Record
53%
1101-972 (2073)
Invested
$125.95
Value
$113.23
PnL
-$12.71
Record
54%
3758-3156 (6914)
Invested
$33.4
Value
$41.75
PnL
+$8.35
Record
46%
624-735 (1359)
Invested
$37.5
Value
—
PnL
-$37.5
Record
67%
1661-813 (2474)
Invested
$8.81
Value
—
PnL
-$8.81
Record
60%
2603-1711 (4314)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$18.2
Value
—
PnL
-$18.2
Record
44%
955-1216 (2171)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.57
Value
—
PnL
-$1.57
Record
48%
980-1048 (2028)
Invested
$118.63
Value
—
PnL
-$118.63
Record
50%
732-740 (1472)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
3766-3522 (7288)
Invested
$26.4
Value
—
PnL
+$5.9
Record
58%
1973-1454 (3427)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $2.9K
hoodquant
Up — $527.14
CrouchPredictions
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Hcrystallash
Up — $203
mo-money
Up — $197.4
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $171.01
stepahead
Up — $113.23
almach
Up — $41.75
RLWG
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown — $0