Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 32% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 32%
1 arb excluded
$5.8K
-$51.4
Smart Money Signal
6 of 19 top traders (32%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 87.6¢ | $2.5K | $2.8K | +$347.73 | 60% 2603-1711 (4314) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 76.2¢ | $1.5K | $1.7K | +$220.06 | 50% 1269-1265 (2534) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $473.17 | $473.64 | +$0.47 | 47% 601-679 (1280) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $290.9 | $294 | +$3.1 | 98% 1855-39 (1894) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 93.7¢ | $194.36 | $185 | -$8.16 | 53% 1101-972 (2073) |
ST stepaheadARB<$100 | Upavg 78.4¢ | $164.55 | $154.43 | -$10.12 | 54% 3758-3156 (6914) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 78.4¢ | $121.03 | $154.43 | +$33.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 19.5¢ | $43.52 | — | -$43.52 | |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 81.3¢ | $154.86 | $138.72 | -$16.14 | 57% 4386-3257 (7643) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.8¢ | $50.03 | — | -$50.03 | 46% 632-753 (1385) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.3¢ | $56.55 | — | -$56.55 | 46% 624-735 (1359) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $31.44 | — | -$31.44 | 50% 3857-3869 (7726) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 47.5¢ | $176.16 | — | -$176.16 | 48% 969-1064 (2033) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 36.9¢ | $132.27 | — | -$132.27 | 46% 502-596 (1098) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $88.4 | — | -$88.4 | 67% 1661-813 (2474) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $27.49 | — | -$27.49 | 55% 658-540 (1198) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.8¢ | $8.52 | — | -$8.52 | 52% 3766-3522 (7288) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 48% 980-1048 (2028) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 44% 955-1216 (2171) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 59% 510-360 (870) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $2.81 | — | -$2.81 | 58% 1973-1454 (3427) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $14.5 | — | -$14.5 | 49% 3456-3566 (7022) |
Invested
$2,463.34
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$347.73
Record
60%
2603-1711 (4314)
Invested
$1,508.37
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$220.06
Record
50%
1269-1265 (2534)
Invested
$473.17
Value
$473.64
PnL
+$0.47
Record
47%
601-679 (1280)
Invested
$290.9
Value
$294
PnL
+$3.1
Record
98%
1855-39 (1894)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$194.36
Value
$185
PnL
-$8.16
Record
53%
1101-972 (2073)
Invested
$164.55
Value
$154.43
PnL
-$10.12
Record
54%
3758-3156 (6914)
Both legs:
Invested
$154.86
Value
$138.72
PnL
-$16.14
Record
57%
4386-3257 (7643)
Invested
$50.03
Value
—
PnL
-$50.03
Record
46%
632-753 (1385)
Invested
$56.55
Value
—
PnL
-$56.55
Record
46%
624-735 (1359)
Invested
$31.44
Value
—
PnL
-$31.44
Record
50%
3857-3869 (7726)
Invested
$176.16
Value
—
PnL
-$176.16
Record
48%
969-1064 (2033)
Invested
$132.27
Value
—
PnL
-$132.27
Record
46%
502-596 (1098)
Invested
$88.4
Value
—
PnL
-$88.4
Record
67%
1661-813 (2474)
Invested
$27.49
Value
—
PnL
-$27.49
Record
55%
658-540 (1198)
Invested
$8.52
Value
—
PnL
-$8.52
Record
52%
3766-3522 (7288)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
48%
980-1048 (2028)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
44%
955-1216 (2171)
Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
59%
510-360 (870)
Invested
$2.81
Value
—
PnL
-$2.81
Record
58%
1973-1454 (3427)
Invested
$14.5
Value
—
PnL
-$14.5
Record
49%
3456-3566 (7022)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $2.8K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.7K
0x50f7
Up — $473.64
hoodquant
Up — $294
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $185
stepahead
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Hcrystallash
Up — $138.72
mo-money
CTRDown — $0
almach
CTRDown — $0
bosona
CTRDown — $0