Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$8.0K
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 22 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $3.7K | $3.4K | -$353.34 | 50% 1187-1186 (2373) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 95.6¢ | $1.5K | $1.0K | -$496.09 | 45% 584-705 (1289) |
AL almach | Upavg 89.1¢ | $1.1K | $760.36 | -$294.83 | 46% 578-687 (1265) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 85¢ | $806.48 | $749.42 | -$57.06 | 46% 465-554 (1019) |
BO bosona | Upavg 83.6¢ | $841.63 | $648.93 | -$192.7 | 50% 3804-3824 (7628) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 90.4¢ | $542.57 | $600 | +$57.43 | 36% 395-700 (1095) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 57.3¢ | $394.23 | $410.18 | +$15.96 | 54% 3713-3120 (6833) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 42.9¢ | $359.54 | — | -$359.54 | 57% 4336-3235 (7571) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 21¢ | $209.3 | — | -$209.3 | 60% 2568-1681 (4249) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 64¢ | $105.72 | $103.35 | -$2.06 | 66% 1661-871 (2532) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Upavg 92¢ | $94 | $102.17 | +$8.17 | 34% 171-325 (496) |
 ohioismARB<$100 | Downavg 47.1¢ | $64.32 | $40 | -$24.32 | 48% 909-982 (1891) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51¢ | $20.4 | $40 | +$19.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 47.1¢ | $43.92 | — | -$43.92 | |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.2¢ | $54.67 | — | -$54.67 | 52% 3662-3433 (7095) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $37 | $70 | +$33 | 67% 1650-803 (2453) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $39 | — | -$39 | 45% 81-101 (182) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $30.35 | $31.48 | +$1.13 | 60% 1153-761 (1914) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $48.4 | $22.5 | -$9.28 | 62% 1888-1180 (3068) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $13.8 | $20 | +$6.2 | 47% 538-599 (1137) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $9.76 | — | -$9.76 | 38% 647-1050 (1697) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $6.93 | $7.53 | +$0.6 | 49% 3363-3470 (6833) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.83 | — | -$5.83 | 59% 471-334 (805) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $17.5 | — | -$1.3 | 58% 1820-1334 (3154) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.4¢ | $22.24 | — | -$22.24 | 44% 880-1138 (2018) |
Invested
$3,749.01
Value
$3.4K
PnL
-$353.34
Record
50%
1187-1186 (2373)
Invested
$1,496.09
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$496.09
Record
45%
584-705 (1289)
Invested
$1,055.19
Value
$760.36
PnL
-$294.83
Record
46%
578-687 (1265)
Invested
$806.48
Value
$749.42
PnL
-$57.06
Record
46%
465-554 (1019)
Invested
$841.63
Value
$648.93
PnL
-$192.7
Record
50%
3804-3824 (7628)
Invested
$542.57
Value
$600
PnL
+$57.43
Record
36%
395-700 (1095)
Invested
$394.23
Value
$410.18
PnL
+$15.96
Record
54%
3713-3120 (6833)
Invested
$359.54
Value
—
PnL
-$359.54
Record
57%
4336-3235 (7571)
Invested
$209.3
Value
—
PnL
-$209.3
Record
60%
2568-1681 (4249)
Invested
$105.72
Value
$103.35
PnL
-$2.06
Record
66%
1661-871 (2532)
Invested
$94
Value
$102.17
PnL
+$8.17
Record
34%
171-325 (496)
ohioismARB<$100Invested
$64.32
Value
$40
PnL
-$24.32
Record
48%
909-982 (1891)
Both legs:
Invested
$54.67
Value
—
PnL
-$54.67
Record
52%
3662-3433 (7095)
Invested
$37
Value
$70
PnL
+$33
Record
67%
1650-803 (2453)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$39
Value
—
PnL
-$39
Record
45%
81-101 (182)
Invested
$30.35
Value
$31.48
PnL
+$1.13
Record
60%
1153-761 (1914)
Invested
$48.4
Value
$22.5
PnL
-$9.28
Record
62%
1888-1180 (3068)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.2
Record
47%
538-599 (1137)
Invested
$9.76
Value
—
PnL
-$9.76
Record
38%
647-1050 (1697)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7.53
PnL
+$0.6
Record
49%
3363-3470 (6833)
Invested
$5.83
Value
—
PnL
-$5.83
Record
59%
471-334 (805)
Invested
$17.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
58%
1820-1334 (3154)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$22.24
Value
—
PnL
-$22.24
Record
44%
880-1138 (2018)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $3.4K
mo-money
Up — $1.0K
almach
Up — $760.36
CrouchPredictions
Up — $749.42
bosona
Up — $648.93
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $600
stepahead
Up — $410.18
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $103.35