Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 75%
$7.1K
$183.05
Smart Money Signal
15 of 20 top traders (75%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 95.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$41.02 | 57% 4301-3216 (7517) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 88.5¢ | $992.49 | $1.1K | +$102.15 | 50% 1112-1093 (2205) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 93¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$42.98 | 52% 969-877 (1846) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $684.77 | $693.01 | +$8.24 | 98% 1643-35 (1678) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 88¢ | $614.07 | $616.85 | +$2.79 | 45% 439-537 (976) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 98.9¢ | $607.48 | $601 | +$2.17 | 36% 382-671 (1053) |
BO bosona | Upavg 98.4¢ | $533.88 | $513.16 | -$20.72 | 50% 3775-3793 (7568) |
AL almach | Upavg 98.3¢ | $323.77 | $306.31 | -$17.46 | 46% 551-653 (1204) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 98.5¢ | $318.37 | $301.9 | -$16.47 | 45% 555-673 (1228) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 50¢ | $86.5 | $173 | +$86.5 | 46% 837-975 (1812) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 75.9¢ | $109.81 | $122.98 | +$13.17 | 54% 3684-3102 (6786) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 54.9¢ | $38.25 | $69.64 | +$31.39 | 44% 77-98 (175) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 93.2¢ | $51.04 | $51.11 | +$0.11 | 65% 1584-836 (2420) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $4.5 | $5 | +$0.5 | 60% 1096-736 (1832) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 94.8¢ | $175.34 | $4 | -$0.55 | 61% 1800-1130 (2930) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.6¢ | $70.93 | — | -$70.93 | 61% 2547-1662 (4209) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $13.72 | — | -$13.72 | 48% 1332-1446 (2778) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $5.07 | — | -$5.07 | 54% 565-475 (1040) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 34% 163-322 (485) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 38% 622-1000 (1622) |
Invested
$1,434.26
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$41.02
Record
57%
4301-3216 (7517)
Invested
$992.49
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$102.15
Record
50%
1112-1093 (2205)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,021.71
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$42.98
Record
52%
969-877 (1846)
Invested
$684.77
Value
$693.01
PnL
+$8.24
Record
98%
1643-35 (1678)
Invested
$614.07
Value
$616.85
PnL
+$2.79
Record
45%
439-537 (976)
Invested
$607.48
Value
$601
PnL
+$2.17
Record
36%
382-671 (1053)
Invested
$533.88
Value
$513.16
PnL
-$20.72
Record
50%
3775-3793 (7568)
Invested
$323.77
Value
$306.31
PnL
-$17.46
Record
46%
551-653 (1204)
Invested
$318.37
Value
$301.9
PnL
-$16.47
Record
45%
555-673 (1228)
Invested
$86.5
Value
$173
PnL
+$86.5
Record
46%
837-975 (1812)
Invested
$109.81
Value
$122.98
PnL
+$13.17
Record
54%
3684-3102 (6786)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$69.64
PnL
+$31.39
Record
44%
77-98 (175)
Invested
$51.04
Value
$51.11
PnL
+$0.11
Record
65%
1584-836 (2420)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.5
Record
60%
1096-736 (1832)
Invested
$175.34
Value
$4
PnL
-$0.55
Record
61%
1800-1130 (2930)
Invested
$70.93
Value
—
PnL
-$70.93
Record
61%
2547-1662 (4209)
Invested
$13.72
Value
—
PnL
-$13.72
Record
48%
1332-1446 (2778)
Invested
$5.07
Value
—
PnL
-$5.07
Record
54%
565-475 (1040)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
34%
163-322 (485)
Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
38%
622-1000 (1622)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Up — $1.5K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.1K
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $1.1K
hoodquant
Up — $693.01
CrouchPredictions
Up — $616.85
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $601
bosona
Up — $513.16
almach
Up — $306.31
mo-money
Up — $301.9
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $173