Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 79%
$5.0K
$827.07
Smart Money Signal
19 of 24 top traders (79%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 56.8¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$232.49 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$13.32 | 98% 1594-33 (1627) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 49.1¢ | $427.17 | $621.48 | +$194.31 | 45% 426-520 (946) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $285.66 | $605.08 | +$319.42 | 46% 809-946 (1755) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 57.9¢ | $240.83 | $213.5 | -$27.33 | 57% 4281-3209 (7490) |
BO bosona | Downavg 35¢ | $74.31 | $209.12 | +$134.81 | 50% 3755-3780 (7535) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Upavg 43.9¢ | $143.3 | — | -$143.3 | 54% 3668-3086 (6754) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 50.4¢ | $130.94 | $131 | +$8.79 | 53% 938-848 (1786) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 78.5¢ | $82 | $104.44 | +$22.44 | 33% 157-322 (479) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $86.47 | $65 | -$21.47 | 48% 838-904 (1742) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $30.5 | $50 | +$19.5 | 49% 3270-3379 (6649) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $22.4 | $45 | +$22.6 | 61% 2536-1645 (4181) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $36.75 | $73 | +$36.25 | 43% 72-96 (168) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 66.9¢ | $27.66 | $34.16 | +$6.49 | 52% 3572-3348 (6920) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $28.13 | $33.67 | +$5.54 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $14.5 | $40 | +$25.5 | 44% 821-1039 (1860) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 76.8¢ | $15.35 | $20 | +$4.65 | 47% 485-549 (1034) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $14.6 | $12.95 | -$1.65 | 45% 534-658 (1192) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $9.99 | $13.15 | +$3.16 | 38% 603-967 (1570) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $18.2 | — | -$18.2 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $7.6 | $11.05 | +$3.45 | 60% 1062-712 (1774) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 67% 1642-794 (2436) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.8¢ | $30.91 | — | +$6.79 | 58% 1663-1228 (2891) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.8¢ | $15.15 | — | -$15.15 | 37% 374-624 (998) |
Invested
$1,261.44
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$232.49
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
Invested
$1,318.68
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$13.32
Record
98%
1594-33 (1627)
Invested
$427.17
Value
$621.48
PnL
+$194.31
Record
45%
426-520 (946)
Invested
$285.66
Value
$605.08
PnL
+$319.42
Record
46%
809-946 (1755)
Invested
$240.83
Value
$213.5
PnL
-$27.33
Record
57%
4281-3209 (7490)
Invested
$74.31
Value
$209.12
PnL
+$134.81
Record
50%
3755-3780 (7535)
Invested
$143.3
Value
—
PnL
-$143.3
Record
54%
3668-3086 (6754)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$130.94
Value
$131
PnL
+$8.79
Record
53%
938-848 (1786)
Invested
$82
Value
$104.44
PnL
+$22.44
Record
33%
157-322 (479)
ohioism<$100Invested
$86.47
Value
$65
PnL
-$21.47
Record
48%
838-904 (1742)
Invested
$30.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$19.5
Record
49%
3270-3379 (6649)
Invested
$22.4
Value
$45
PnL
+$22.6
Record
61%
2536-1645 (4181)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$36.75
Value
$73
PnL
+$36.25
Record
43%
72-96 (168)
Invested
$27.66
Value
$34.16
PnL
+$6.49
Record
52%
3572-3348 (6920)
Invested
$28.13
Value
$33.67
PnL
+$5.54
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.5
Value
$40
PnL
+$25.5
Record
44%
821-1039 (1860)
Invested
$15.35
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.65
Record
47%
485-549 (1034)
Invested
$14.6
Value
$12.95
PnL
-$1.65
Record
45%
534-658 (1192)
Invested
$9.99
Value
$13.15
PnL
+$3.16
Record
38%
603-967 (1570)
Invested
$18.2
Value
—
PnL
-$18.2
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
Invested
$7.6
Value
$11.05
PnL
+$3.45
Record
60%
1062-712 (1774)
Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
67%
1642-794 (2436)
Invested
$30.91
Value
—
PnL
+$6.79
Record
58%
1663-1228 (2891)
Invested
$15.15
Value
—
PnL
-$15.15
Record
37%
374-624 (998)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.4K
hoodquant
Down — $1.3K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $621.48
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $605.08
Hcrystallash
Down — $213.5
bosona
Down — $209.12
stepahead
CTRUp — $0

Polkadot-Frog
Down — $131
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Down — $104.44

ohioism
Down — $65