Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 75%
$4.3K
$32.15
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 86.1¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$83.29 | 57% 4243-3185 (7428) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $705.9 | $816.08 | +$110.17 | 51% 933-914 (1847) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $791.84 | $808 | +$16.16 | 98% 1499-31 (1530) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 91.3¢ | $651.07 | $639.5 | -$11.57 | 46% 403-481 (884) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 86.7¢ | $190.2 | $187.5 | -$2.7 | 53% 887-786 (1673) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 56.5¢ | $159.8 | $150.71 | -$9.09 | 54% 3640-3052 (6692) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 94.7¢ | $124.55 | $125.2 | +$0.65 | 44% 496-623 (1119) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 82.8¢ | $48.17 | $36.5 | -$7.51 | 62% 1634-1017 (2651) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $28.58 | $35.21 | +$6.63 | 49% 3193-3306 (6499) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $18.33 | $24.48 | +$6.15 | 65% 1431-763 (2194) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $16.5 | — | -$16.5 | 52% 3510-3269 (6779) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $9.5 | $10.05 | +$0.55 | 60% 1005-663 (1668) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $3.95 | $5 | +$1.05 | 45% 772-956 (1728) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2.83 | — | -$2.83 | 58% 1531-1106 (2637) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $0.69 | — | -$0.69 | 48% 779-832 (1611) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Upavg 19.2¢ | $141.61 | — | -$141.61 | 61% 2482-1593 (4075) |
Invested
$1,374.19
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$83.29
Record
57%
4243-3185 (7428)
Invested
$705.9
Value
$816.08
PnL
+$110.17
Record
51%
933-914 (1847)
Invested
$791.84
Value
$808
PnL
+$16.16
Record
98%
1499-31 (1530)
Invested
$651.07
Value
$639.5
PnL
-$11.57
Record
46%
403-481 (884)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$190.2
Value
$187.5
PnL
-$2.7
Record
53%
887-786 (1673)
Invested
$159.8
Value
$150.71
PnL
-$9.09
Record
54%
3640-3052 (6692)
Invested
$124.55
Value
$125.2
PnL
+$0.65
Record
44%
496-623 (1119)
Invested
$48.17
Value
$36.5
PnL
-$7.51
Record
62%
1634-1017 (2651)
Invested
$28.58
Value
$35.21
PnL
+$6.63
Record
49%
3193-3306 (6499)
Invested
$18.33
Value
$24.48
PnL
+$6.15
Record
65%
1431-763 (2194)
Invested
$16.5
Value
—
PnL
-$16.5
Record
52%
3510-3269 (6779)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$10.05
PnL
+$0.55
Record
60%
1005-663 (1668)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
45%
772-956 (1728)
Invested
$2.83
Value
—
PnL
-$2.83
Record
58%
1531-1106 (2637)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.69
Value
—
PnL
-$0.69
Record
48%
779-832 (1611)
Invested
$141.61
Value
—
PnL
-$141.61
Record
61%
2482-1593 (4075)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Down — $1.5K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $816.08
hoodquant
Down — $808
CrouchPredictions
Down — $639.5
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $187.5
stepahead
Down — $150.71
mo-money
Down — $125.2
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $36.5
asdcaxz
Down — $35.21
asdaefef
Down — $24.48