Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 58%
$9.0K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 26 top traders (58%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 68.5¢ | $4.6K | $4.0K | -$590.36 | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | +$20.49 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 66.8¢ | $782.47 | $953.88 | +$171.42 | 45% 386-468 (854) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 60.7¢ | $662.9 | $834.56 | +$171.66 | 57% 4217-3173 (7390) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Upavg 47.7¢ | $659.4 | — | -$658.52 | 54% 3622-3038 (6660) |
BO bosona | Downavg 50¢ | $241.62 | $453.3 | +$211.68 | 50% 3699-3735 (7434) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 50.2¢ | $223.9 | $224.25 | +$0.35 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 61.2¢ | $168.76 | $202.8 | +$34.03 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 99¢ | $129.69 | $131 | +$1.31 | 45% 722-869 (1591) |
PB PBot-5 | Downavg 84.6¢ | $158.5 | $120 | -$37.2 | 47% 445-493 (938) |
AL almach | Downavg 80.8¢ | $91.28 | $108.18 | +$16.9 | 44% 468-591 (1059) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 81.8¢ | $109.7 | $95.04 | -$10.05 | 49% 3158-3267 (6425) |
 AtomforgeCTR | Upavg 27.1¢ | $105.35 | — | -$104.65 | 18% 153-712 (865) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $85.41 | $48.01 | +$4.71 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $43.25 | — | -$43.25 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.4¢ | $81.17 | $37.95 | -$18.17 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $31.8 | $35 | +$6.8 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $12.04 | $32.54 | +$20.5 | 44% 474-605 (1079) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 54% 512-439 (951) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $24.3 | — | -$24.3 | 68% 1630-781 (2411) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $7.2 | — | +$0.5 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972CTR | Upavg 12.2¢ | $239.99 | — | -$239.99 | 32% 150-313 (463) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Upavg 29.1¢ | $126.66 | — | -$126.66 | 61% 2461-1569 (4030) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR | Upavg 42.4¢ | $123.46 | — | -$123.46 | 45% 744-919 (1663) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.7¢ | $7.97 | — | -$7.97 | 39% 547-873 (1420) |
Invested
$4,604.03
Value
$4.0K
PnL
-$590.36
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
Invested
$1,720.5
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$20.49
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
Invested
$782.47
Value
$953.88
PnL
+$171.42
Record
45%
386-468 (854)
Invested
$662.9
Value
$834.56
PnL
+$171.66
Record
57%
4217-3173 (7390)
Invested
$659.4
Value
—
PnL
-$658.52
Record
54%
3622-3038 (6660)
Invested
$241.62
Value
$453.3
PnL
+$211.68
Record
50%
3699-3735 (7434)
Invested
$223.9
Value
$224.25
PnL
+$0.35
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$168.76
Value
$202.8
PnL
+$34.03
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$129.69
Value
$131
PnL
+$1.31
Record
45%
722-869 (1591)
Invested
$158.5
Value
$120
PnL
-$37.2
Record
47%
445-493 (938)
Invested
$91.28
Value
$108.18
PnL
+$16.9
Record
44%
468-591 (1059)
Invested
$109.7
Value
$95.04
PnL
-$10.05
Record
49%
3158-3267 (6425)
AtomforgeCTRInvested
$105.35
Value
—
PnL
-$104.65
Record
18%
153-712 (865)
Invested
$85.41
Value
$48.01
PnL
+$4.71
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
Invested
$43.25
Value
—
PnL
-$43.25
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
Invested
$81.17
Value
$37.95
PnL
-$18.17
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
ohioism<$100Invested
$31.8
Value
$35
PnL
+$6.8
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
Invested
$12.04
Value
$32.54
PnL
+$20.5
Record
44%
474-605 (1079)
Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
54%
512-439 (951)
Invested
$24.3
Value
—
PnL
-$24.3
Record
68%
1630-781 (2411)
Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
+$0.5
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
Invested
$239.99
Value
—
PnL
-$239.99
Record
32%
150-313 (463)
Invested
$126.66
Value
—
PnL
-$126.66
Record
61%
2461-1569 (4030)
G-Penis-MonsterCTRInvested
$123.46
Value
—
PnL
-$123.46
Record
45%
744-919 (1663)
Invested
$7.97
Value
—
PnL
-$7.97
Record
39%
547-873 (1420)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $4.0K
hoodquant
Down — $1.7K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $953.88
Hcrystallash
Down — $834.56
stepahead
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $453.3
blue.birds
Down — $224.25
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $202.8
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $131
PBot-5
Down — $120