Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 62%
$8.3K
-$844.51
Smart Money Signal
16 of 26 top traders (62%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 29.5¢ | $836.35 | $2.8K | +$2.0K | 61% 2461-1569 (4030) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 67.2¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.2¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$27.14 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 42.3¢ | $769.23 | $949.39 | +$181.95 | 45% 386-468 (854) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 52.3¢ | $667.02 | $884.02 | +$217.23 | 57% 4217-3173 (7390) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 46.4¢ | $503.93 | — | -$503.93 | 54% 3622-3038 (6660) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 58.1¢ | $474.88 | — | -$474.88 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972CTR | Downavg 58.7¢ | $736.55 | — | -$728.47 | 32% 150-313 (463) |
AL almach | Upavg 53.5¢ | $320.6 | $379.27 | +$58.68 | 44% 468-591 (1059) |
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 50.1¢ | $136.9 | $273.46 | +$136.56 | 75% 563-190 (753) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 39.9¢ | $114.2 | $268.25 | +$154.04 | 44% 474-605 (1079) |
BO bosona | Upavg 38.5¢ | $88.8 | $227.63 | +$138.84 | 50% 3699-3735 (7434) |
38 38791873984189 | Upavg 47.6¢ | $152.92 | $321.15 | +$168.24 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
![]() ohioism | Upavg 50.8¢ | $129.32 | $149.99 | +$34.17 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 53.6¢ | $131.36 | $129.91 | -$1.19 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 52.3¢ | $100.33 | $158.62 | +$58.3 | 45% 744-919 (1663) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Downavg 58.9¢ | $132.04 | — | -$131.56 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 64.6¢ | $76.99 | $95.52 | +$20.64 | 47% 445-493 (938) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $88.92 | — | -$88.92 | 45% 722-869 (1591) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 37.5¢ | $19.74 | $52.68 | +$32.94 | 18% 153-712 (865) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $40.47 | — | -$40.47 | 60% 971-647 (1618) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 52.9¢ | $39 | — | -$39 | 44% 69-87 (156) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 49% 3158-3267 (6425) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Upavg 47.4¢ | $12.13 | $25.58 | +$13.45 | 54% 512-439 (951) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $6.95 | $5 | +$3.35 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
Invested
$836.35
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
61%
2461-1569 (4030)
Invested
$2,089.63
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
Invested
$1,477.49
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$27.14
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
Invested
$769.23
Value
$949.39
PnL
+$181.95
Record
45%
386-468 (854)
Invested
$667.02
Value
$884.02
PnL
+$217.23
Record
57%
4217-3173 (7390)
Invested
$503.93
Value
—
PnL
-$503.93
Record
54%
3622-3038 (6660)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$474.88
Value
—
PnL
-$474.88
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$736.55
Value
—
PnL
-$728.47
Record
32%
150-313 (463)
Invested
$320.6
Value
$379.27
PnL
+$58.68
Record
44%
468-591 (1059)
BoneOhioInvested
$136.9
Value
$273.46
PnL
+$136.56
Record
75%
563-190 (753)
Invested
$114.2
Value
$268.25
PnL
+$154.04
Record
44%
474-605 (1079)
Invested
$88.8
Value
$227.63
PnL
+$138.84
Record
50%
3699-3735 (7434)
Invested
$152.92
Value
$321.15
PnL
+$168.24
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
ohioismInvested
$129.32
Value
$149.99
PnL
+$34.17
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
Invested
$131.36
Value
$129.91
PnL
-$1.19
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$100.33
Value
$158.62
PnL
+$58.3
Record
45%
744-919 (1663)
Invested
$132.04
Value
—
PnL
-$131.56
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Invested
$76.99
Value
$95.52
PnL
+$20.64
Record
47%
445-493 (938)
Invested
$88.92
Value
—
PnL
-$88.92
Record
45%
722-869 (1591)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$19.74
Value
$52.68
PnL
+$32.94
Record
18%
153-712 (865)
Invested
$40.47
Value
—
PnL
-$40.47
Record
60%
971-647 (1618)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$39
Value
—
PnL
-$39
Record
44%
69-87 (156)
Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
49%
3158-3267 (6425)
Invested
$12.13
Value
$25.58
PnL
+$13.45
Record
54%
512-439 (951)
Invested
$6.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.35
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $2.8K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $1.5K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $949.39
Hcrystallash
Up — $884.02
stepahead
CTRDown — $0

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
CTRDown — $0
almach
Up — $379.27

BoneOhio
Up — $273.46