Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 68%
$5.0K
$303.24
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 90.6Β’ | $1.6K | $1.7K | +$162.49 | 57% 4217-3173 (7390) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 82.3Β’ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$167 | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $855.36 | $864 | +$8.64 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 71.7Β’ | $330.97 | $423.81 | +$92.84 | 45% 386-468 (854) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 89.9Β’ | $171.75 | $191 | +$19.25 | 61% 2461-1569 (4030) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 71.7Β’ | $135.62 | $162.46 | +$26.83 | 54% 3622-3038 (6660) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 89.7Β’ | $139.1 | $145 | +$6.2 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Upavg 93Β’ | $103.5 | $105.38 | +$1.88 | 32% 150-313 (463) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $98 | β | -$98 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $80.63 | β | -$80.63 | 45% 722-869 (1591) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 53.7Β’ | $28.86 | $53.72 | +$24.86 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 71.4Β’ | $18.91 | $26.47 | +$7.56 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $13.6 | $20 | +$6.4 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $6 | $12 | +$6 | 47% 445-493 (938) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $4.3 | $5.31 | +$1.01 | 60% 971-647 (1618) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.7Β’ | $14.95 | β | -$14.95 | 44% 468-591 (1059) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 30Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.1Β’ | $15.34 | β | -$15.34 | 44% 474-605 (1079) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.9Β’ | $15.8 | β | -$15.8 | 50% 3699-3735 (7434) |
Invested
$1,559.04
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$162.49
Record
57%
4217-3173 (7390)
Invested
$1,074.51
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$167
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
Invested
$855.36
Value
$864
PnL
+$8.64
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
Invested
$330.97
Value
$423.81
PnL
+$92.84
Record
45%
386-468 (854)
Invested
$171.75
Value
$191
PnL
+$19.25
Record
61%
2461-1569 (4030)
Invested
$135.62
Value
$162.46
PnL
+$26.83
Record
54%
3622-3038 (6660)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$139.1
Value
$145
PnL
+$6.2
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$103.5
Value
$105.38
PnL
+$1.88
Record
32%
150-313 (463)
Invested
$98
Value
β
PnL
-$98
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
Invested
$80.63
Value
β
PnL
-$80.63
Record
45%
722-869 (1591)
ohioism<$100Invested
$28.86
Value
$53.72
PnL
+$24.86
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
Invested
$18.91
Value
$26.47
PnL
+$7.56
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.4
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
Invested
$6
Value
$12
PnL
+$6
Record
47%
445-493 (938)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.31
PnL
+$1.01
Record
60%
971-647 (1618)
Invested
$14.95
Value
β
PnL
-$14.95
Record
44%
468-591 (1059)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
Invested
$15.34
Value
β
PnL
-$15.34
Record
44%
474-605 (1079)
Invested
$15.8
Value
β
PnL
-$15.8
Record
50%
3699-3735 (7434)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Up β $1.7K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $1.2K
hoodquant
Up β $864
CrouchPredictions
Up β $423.81
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $191
stepahead
Up β $162.46

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $145
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Up β $105.38
38791873984189
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0