Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 65%
$6.1K
-$74.84
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$3.54 | 45% 421-510 (931) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 71.1¢ | $477.45 | — | -$477.45 | 45% 355-435 (790) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 30.4¢ | $452.73 | $800 | +$363.65 | 57% 4188-3146 (7334) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 22.4¢ | $226.66 | $633.71 | +$407.05 | 62% 2365-1458 (3823) |
BO bosona | Downavg 47.2¢ | $487.22 | $519.73 | +$32.5 | 50% 3667-3701 (7368) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Upavg 47.1¢ | $322.01 | — | -$322.01 | 54% 3586-3008 (6594) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 87.8¢ | $267.25 | $204.07 | -$56.99 | 31% 142-311 (453) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.1¢ | $88.77 | — | -$88.77 | 44% 435-558 (993) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 31.8¢ | $61.18 | $107.61 | +$46.44 | 52% 3399-3159 (6558) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $46.55 | $75.41 | +$28.86 | 44% 682-863 (1545) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $62.99 | $60.75 | -$2.24 | 65% 1284-691 (1975) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $46 | $50 | +$4 | 49% 3081-3189 (6270) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $20.15 | $35.83 | +$23.44 | 62% 1469-913 (2382) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $30.02 | — | -$30.02 | 60% 374-250 (624) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $19.58 | $25 | +$5.42 | 48% 697-745 (1442) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.4¢ | $28.38 | $24.95 | -$3.43 | 59% 895-612 (1507) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $21.51 | $20 | -$1.51 | 48% 412-450 (862) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $6.46 | — | -$6.46 | 44% 441-571 (1012) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $0.81 | — | -$0.81 | 48% 969-1052 (2021) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 39% 512-817 (1329) |
Invested
$3,539
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$3.54
Record
45%
421-510 (931)
Invested
$477.45
Value
—
PnL
-$477.45
Record
45%
355-435 (790)
Invested
$452.73
Value
$800
PnL
+$363.65
Record
57%
4188-3146 (7334)
Invested
$226.66
Value
$633.71
PnL
+$407.05
Record
62%
2365-1458 (3823)
Invested
$487.22
Value
$519.73
PnL
+$32.5
Record
50%
3667-3701 (7368)
Invested
$322.01
Value
—
PnL
-$322.01
Record
54%
3586-3008 (6594)
Invested
$267.25
Value
$204.07
PnL
-$56.99
Record
31%
142-311 (453)
Invested
$88.77
Value
—
PnL
-$88.77
Record
44%
435-558 (993)
Invested
$61.18
Value
$107.61
PnL
+$46.44
Record
52%
3399-3159 (6558)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$46.55
Value
$75.41
PnL
+$28.86
Record
44%
682-863 (1545)
Invested
$62.99
Value
$60.75
PnL
-$2.24
Record
65%
1284-691 (1975)
Invested
$46
Value
$50
PnL
+$4
Record
49%
3081-3189 (6270)
Invested
$20.15
Value
$35.83
PnL
+$23.44
Record
62%
1469-913 (2382)
Invested
$30.02
Value
—
PnL
-$30.02
Record
60%
374-250 (624)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.58
Value
$25
PnL
+$5.42
Record
48%
697-745 (1442)
Invested
$28.38
Value
$24.95
PnL
-$3.43
Record
59%
895-612 (1507)
Invested
$21.51
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.51
Record
48%
412-450 (862)
Invested
$6.46
Value
—
PnL
-$6.46
Record
44%
441-571 (1012)
Invested
$0.81
Value
—
PnL
-$0.81
Record
48%
969-1052 (2021)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
39%
512-817 (1329)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.5K
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $800
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $633.71
bosona
Down — $519.73
stepahead
CTRUp — $0
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Down — $204.07
almach
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $107.61
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $75.41