Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 63%
$5.1K
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 25 top traders (64%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$21.1 | 98% 1235-27 (1262) |
AL almach | Downavg 70.8¢ | $630.58 | $853.89 | +$223.31 | 43% 374-503 (877) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 59.6¢ | $716.11 | $726.05 | +$9.94 | 54% 3536-2962 (6498) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 41.1¢ | $625.2 | — | -$625.2 | 50% 3604-3646 (7250) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 64.1¢ | $963.45 | — | -$946.23 | 52% 789-736 (1525) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 52.9¢ | $542.67 | $554.07 | +$21.96 | 57% 4135-3098 (7233) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 91¢ | $366.17 | $402.31 | +$36.14 | 30% 135-308 (443) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 57.1¢ | $246.5 | $394.06 | +$147.56 | 42% 378-516 (894) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 71¢ | $357.36 | $340.08 | -$17.28 | 46% 320-374 (694) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $219.07 | — | -$219.07 | 53% 728-635 (1363) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 63.3¢ | $224.58 | $169.29 | -$54.39 | 62% 2322-1419 (3741) |
 ohioism | Downavg 69.6¢ | $146.72 | $112.55 | -$34.18 | 48% 607-654 (1261) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 60.6¢ | $64.4 | $92.29 | +$27.9 | 44% 594-770 (1364) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.1¢ | $75.21 | — | -$71.71 | 65% 1142-605 (1747) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.3¢ | $57 | — | -$57 | 49% 2975-3069 (6044) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $29.09 | — | -$29.09 | 53% 335-299 (634) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 85.6¢ | $24.5 | $28.63 | +$4.13 | 13% 103-691 (794) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.1¢ | $41.53 | — | -$4.15 | 52% 3288-3043 (6331) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 45.5¢ | $9.1 | $20 | +$10.9 | 48% 352-387 (739) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $17.97 | $17.99 | +$0.02 | 45% 364-446 (810) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR | Upavg 47.7¢ | $103.1 | — | -$41.44 | 61% 1274-816 (2090) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 46.1¢ | $12.19 | $14.32 | +$4.5 | 59% 788-556 (1344) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $11.6 | — | -$11.6 | 75% 441-144 (585) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 37.8¢ | $2.42 | $6.4 | +$3.98 | 68% 1592-742 (2334) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 38.9¢ | $35.67 | $0.68 | +$5.67 | 58% 1179-851 (2030) |
Invested
$1,356.76
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$21.1
Record
98%
1235-27 (1262)
Invested
$630.58
Value
$853.89
PnL
+$223.31
Record
43%
374-503 (877)
Invested
$716.11
Value
$726.05
PnL
+$9.94
Record
54%
3536-2962 (6498)
Invested
$625.2
Value
—
PnL
-$625.2
Record
50%
3604-3646 (7250)
Invested
$963.45
Value
—
PnL
-$946.23
Record
52%
789-736 (1525)
Invested
$542.67
Value
$554.07
PnL
+$21.96
Record
57%
4135-3098 (7233)
Invested
$366.17
Value
$402.31
PnL
+$36.14
Record
30%
135-308 (443)
Invested
$246.5
Value
$394.06
PnL
+$147.56
Record
42%
378-516 (894)
Invested
$357.36
Value
$340.08
PnL
-$17.28
Record
46%
320-374 (694)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$219.07
Value
—
PnL
-$219.07
Record
53%
728-635 (1363)
Invested
$224.58
Value
$169.29
PnL
-$54.39
Record
62%
2322-1419 (3741)
ohioismInvested
$146.72
Value
$112.55
PnL
-$34.18
Record
48%
607-654 (1261)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$64.4
Value
$92.29
PnL
+$27.9
Record
44%
594-770 (1364)
Invested
$75.21
Value
—
PnL
-$71.71
Record
65%
1142-605 (1747)
Invested
$57
Value
—
PnL
-$57
Record
49%
2975-3069 (6044)
Invested
$29.09
Value
—
PnL
-$29.09
Record
53%
335-299 (634)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$24.5
Value
$28.63
PnL
+$4.13
Record
13%
103-691 (794)
Invested
$41.53
Value
—
PnL
-$4.15
Record
52%
3288-3043 (6331)
Invested
$9.1
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.9
Record
48%
352-387 (739)
Invested
$17.97
Value
$17.99
PnL
+$0.02
Record
45%
364-446 (810)
Invested
$103.1
Value
—
PnL
-$41.44
Record
61%
1274-816 (2090)
Invested
$12.19
Value
$14.32
PnL
+$4.5
Record
59%
788-556 (1344)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$11.6
Value
—
PnL
-$11.6
Record
75%
441-144 (585)
Invested
$2.42
Value
$6.4
PnL
+$3.98
Record
68%
1592-742 (2334)
Invested
$35.67
Value
$0.68
PnL
+$5.67
Record
58%
1179-851 (2030)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.4K
almach
Down — $853.89
stepahead
Down — $726.05
bosona
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $554.07
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Down — $402.31
mo-money
Down — $394.06
CrouchPredictions
Down — $340.08
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0