Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 86%
$7.4K
$789.53
Smart Money Signal
19 of 22 top traders (86%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $1.6K | $1.8K | +$429.14 | 53% 678-592 (1270) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 97.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$28.03 | 57% 4059-3065 (7124) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 96.2¢ | $939.54 | $926 | +$6.3 | 54% 632-542 (1174) |
BO bosona | Downavg 94.9¢ | $888.39 | $925.64 | +$37.24 | 50% 3547-3589 (7136) |
AL almach | Downavg 97.3¢ | $675.84 | $689.51 | +$13.67 | 41% 315-447 (762) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 66.7¢ | $257.41 | $385.68 | +$128.27 | 47% 282-317 (599) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 81.7¢ | $319.94 | $351.93 | +$31.98 | 41% 317-458 (775) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 80.5¢ | $229.35 | $284.87 | +$55.52 | 49% 523-535 (1058) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 72.9¢ | $165.85 | $183.95 | +$18.09 | 54% 3478-2923 (6401) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 77¢ | $119.3 | $155 | +$35.7 | 62% 2278-1379 (3657) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $36.96 | $71.08 | +$34.12 | 43% 498-671 (1169) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $56.93 | $57.5 | +$0.58 | 98% 1050-22 (1072) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $27.36 | $36 | +$8.64 | 52% 662-606 (1268) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $26.25 | $30 | +$3.8 | 47% 291-329 (620) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $23.75 | $25 | +$1.25 | 44% 511-656 (1167) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $23.8 | $20 | -$3.8 | 61% 1101-706 (1807) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $47.45 | $19.33 | -$2.9 | 65% 993-525 (1518) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $8.75 | $10.29 | +$1.54 | 58% 690-506 (1196) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.9¢ | $1.81 | — | -$1.81 | 52% 3162-2947 (6109) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $28.44 | — | -$28.44 | 48% 802-884 (1686) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $9.37 | — | -$9.37 | 45% 500-607 (1107) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $7.2 | — | +$1.97 | 58% 993-717 (1710) |
Invested
$1,641.85
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$429.14
Record
53%
678-592 (1270)
Invested
$1,314.97
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$28.03
Record
57%
4059-3065 (7124)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$939.54
Value
$926
PnL
+$6.3
Record
54%
632-542 (1174)
Invested
$888.39
Value
$925.64
PnL
+$37.24
Record
50%
3547-3589 (7136)
Invested
$675.84
Value
$689.51
PnL
+$13.67
Record
41%
315-447 (762)
Invested
$257.41
Value
$385.68
PnL
+$128.27
Record
47%
282-317 (599)
Invested
$319.94
Value
$351.93
PnL
+$31.98
Record
41%
317-458 (775)
Invested
$229.35
Value
$284.87
PnL
+$55.52
Record
49%
523-535 (1058)
Invested
$165.85
Value
$183.95
PnL
+$18.09
Record
54%
3478-2923 (6401)
Invested
$119.3
Value
$155
PnL
+$35.7
Record
62%
2278-1379 (3657)
Invested
$36.96
Value
$71.08
PnL
+$34.12
Record
43%
498-671 (1169)
Invested
$56.93
Value
$57.5
PnL
+$0.58
Record
98%
1050-22 (1072)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$27.36
Value
$36
PnL
+$8.64
Record
52%
662-606 (1268)
Invested
$26.25
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.8
Record
47%
291-329 (620)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
44%
511-656 (1167)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$20
PnL
-$3.8
Record
61%
1101-706 (1807)
Invested
$47.45
Value
$19.33
PnL
-$2.9
Record
65%
993-525 (1518)
Invested
$8.75
Value
$10.29
PnL
+$1.54
Record
58%
690-506 (1196)
Invested
$1.81
Value
—
PnL
-$1.81
Record
52%
3162-2947 (6109)
Invested
$28.44
Value
—
PnL
-$28.44
Record
48%
802-884 (1686)
Invested
$9.37
Value
—
PnL
-$9.37
Record
45%
500-607 (1107)
Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
+$1.97
Record
58%
993-717 (1710)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.8K
Hcrystallash
Down — $1.3K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $926
bosona
Down — $925.64
almach
Down — $689.51
CrouchPredictions
Down — $385.68
mo-money
Down — $351.93
uninformedfloww
Down — $284.87
stepahead
Down — $183.95
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $155