Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 40%
$3.3K
$-3.3K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 22 top traders (41%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 78.2¢ | $2.8K | $1.8K | -$627.56 | 49% 505-518 (1023) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 32.5¢ | $832.49 | — | -$832.49 | 40% 302-444 (746) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 94.1¢ | $985.81 | $874.53 | -$59.2 | 54% 617-523 (1140) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 42.9¢ | $773.57 | — | -$756.57 | 47% 276-307 (583) |
AL almachCTR | Downavg 13¢ | $403.94 | — | -$403.94 | 41% 304-433 (737) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 57.2¢ | $343.14 | $356.26 | +$13.12 | 54% 3468-2917 (6385) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 56.1¢ | $317.65 | — | -$317.65 | 57% 4050-3055 (7105) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 68.9¢ | $72.38 | $102 | +$29.62 | 45% 480-591 (1071) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 82.9¢ | $94.61 | $96.22 | +$1.61 | 53% 650-579 (1229) |
BO bosonaCTR | Downavg 13.7¢ | $167.37 | — | -$167.37 | 50% 3533-3574 (7107) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 80.6¢ | $56.4 | $70 | +$13.6 | 47% 277-315 (592) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 62.3¢ | $56.31 | — | -$56.31 | 49% 512-538 (1050) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.5¢ | $40.5 | — | -$23.3 | 44% 497-632 (1129) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 89.4¢ | $7.08 | $7.92 | +$0.84 | 62% 2266-1374 (3640) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98.9¢ | $4.95 | $5.01 | +$0.06 | 58% 679-496 (1175) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 0.5¢ | $7.47 | — | -$7.47 | 53% 675-591 (1266) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $91.08 | — | -$91.08 | 47% 781-864 (1645) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $9.81 | — | -$9.81 | 51% 265-255 (520) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 66% 969-510 (1479) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 52% 3144-2926 (6070) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $16.88 | — | -$6.1 | 57% 951-703 (1654) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR | Downavg 12.3¢ | $116.5 | — | -$8.55 | 61% 1075-686 (1761) |
Invested
$2,838.85
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$627.56
Record
49%
505-518 (1023)
Invested
$832.49
Value
—
PnL
-$832.49
Record
40%
302-444 (746)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$985.81
Value
$874.53
PnL
-$59.2
Record
54%
617-523 (1140)
Invested
$773.57
Value
—
PnL
-$756.57
Record
47%
276-307 (583)
Invested
$403.94
Value
—
PnL
-$403.94
Record
41%
304-433 (737)
Invested
$343.14
Value
$356.26
PnL
+$13.12
Record
54%
3468-2917 (6385)
Invested
$317.65
Value
—
PnL
-$317.65
Record
57%
4050-3055 (7105)
Invested
$72.38
Value
$102
PnL
+$29.62
Record
45%
480-591 (1071)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$94.61
Value
$96.22
PnL
+$1.61
Record
53%
650-579 (1229)
Invested
$167.37
Value
—
PnL
-$167.37
Record
50%
3533-3574 (7107)
Invested
$56.4
Value
$70
PnL
+$13.6
Record
47%
277-315 (592)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$56.31
Value
—
PnL
-$56.31
Record
49%
512-538 (1050)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$40.5
Value
—
PnL
-$23.3
Record
44%
497-632 (1129)
Invested
$7.08
Value
$7.92
PnL
+$0.84
Record
62%
2266-1374 (3640)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$0.06
Record
58%
679-496 (1175)
Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
-$7.47
Record
53%
675-591 (1266)
Invested
$91.08
Value
—
PnL
-$91.08
Record
47%
781-864 (1645)
Invested
$9.81
Value
—
PnL
-$9.81
Record
51%
265-255 (520)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
66%
969-510 (1479)
Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
52%
3144-2926 (6070)
Invested
$16.88
Value
—
PnL
-$6.1
Record
57%
951-703 (1654)
Invested
$116.5
Value
—
PnL
-$8.55
Record
61%
1075-686 (1761)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up — $1.8K
mo-money
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $874.53
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0
almach
CTRDown — $0
stepahead
Up — $356.26
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $102
MayorMamdani
Up — $96.22
bosona
CTRDown — $0