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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

19

Up 60%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.1K

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,545

Combined PnL-$288.79

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,752

Combined PnL-$854.96

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 97.4¢	$761.01	$632	-$51.15	63% 61053-35514 (96567)
BO bosona	Upavg 98.9¢	$828.15	$500	-$328.15	55% 52073-42549 (94622)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 81.7¢	$150.65	$168	+$17.35	67% 103663-51911 (155574)
10 1000monkeysCTR	Downavg 30.2¢	$166.18	—	-$166.18	55% 16287-13477 (29764)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 93¢	$66.5	$68.59	+$2.09	66% 131794-68383 (200177)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 87.9¢	$68.22	$64	+$6.65	65% 132578-71765 (204343)
RL RLWG<$100	Upavg 82.4¢	$49.45	$60	+$10.55	49% 8562-8739 (17301)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 93¢	$36.34	$36.05	-$0.29	61% 99231-62985 (162216)
MO mo-moneyCTR	Downavg 21.9¢	$228.6	—	-$228.6	55% 52887-43331 (96218)
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100	Upavg 53.7¢	$4.97	$9.25	+$4.28	53% 2263-2020 (4283)
yen4u<$100	Upavg 71.5¢	$5.1	$7.14	+$2.04	85% 1006-180 (1186)
AL almachCTR	Downavg 23.3¢	$225.66	—	-$225.66	54% 50762-42388 (93150)
HC HcrystallashCTR	Downavg 40.1¢	$151.46	—	-$151.46	20% 20129-78501 (98630)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 8.2¢	$5.64	—	-$5.64	48% 7126-7724 (14850)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	51% 12390-11899 (24289)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 77.7¢	$120.63	$0	+$34.66	59% 2382-1628 (4010)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 85.8¢	$22.49	—	+$3.72	53% 3797-3399 (7196)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$982.52	—	+$9.48	89% 30041-3575 (33616)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 17.7¢	$76.39	—	-$76.39	67% 22776-11023 (33799)

Invested

$761.01

Value

$632

PnL

-$51.15

Record

63%

61053-35514 (96567)

Invested

$828.15

Value

$500

PnL

-$328.15

Record

55%

52073-42549 (94622)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$150.65

Value

$168

PnL

+$17.35

Record

67%

103663-51911 (155574)

Invested

$166.18

Value

—

PnL

-$166.18

Record

55%

16287-13477 (29764)

Invested

$66.5

Value

$68.59

PnL

+$2.09

Record

66%

131794-68383 (200177)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$68.22

Value

$64

PnL

+$6.65

Record

65%

132578-71765 (204343)

Invested

$49.45

Value

$60

PnL

+$10.55

Record

49%

8562-8739 (17301)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$36.34

Value

$36.05

PnL

-$0.29

Record

61%

99231-62985 (162216)

Invested

$228.6

Value

—

PnL

-$228.6

Record

55%

52887-43331 (96218)

0xdc27...afdd9a<$100

Invested

$4.97

Value

$9.25

PnL

+$4.28

Record

53%

2263-2020 (4283)

Invested

$5.1

Value

$7.14

PnL

+$2.04

Record

85%

1006-180 (1186)

Invested

$225.66

Value

—

PnL

-$225.66

Record

54%

50762-42388 (93150)

HcrystallashCTR

Invested

$151.46

Value

—

PnL

-$151.46

Record

20%

20129-78501 (98630)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$5.64

Value

—

PnL

-$5.64

Record

48%

7126-7724 (14850)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

51%

12390-11899 (24289)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$120.63

Value

$0

PnL

+$34.66

Record

59%

2382-1628 (4010)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$22.49

Value

—

PnL

+$3.72

Record

53%

3797-3399 (7196)

Invested

$982.52

Value

—

PnL

+$9.48

Record

89%

30041-3575 (33616)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100

Invested

$76.39

Value

—

PnL

-$76.39

Record

67%

22776-11023 (33799)

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xafe068b6...b0bfed

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794203100

Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $632

bosona

Up — $500

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $168

1000monkeys

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $68.59

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $64

RLWG

Up — $60

asidjasiodja

Up — $36.05

mo-money

Down — $0

0xdc27...afdd9a

Up — $9.25

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