Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 68%
$4.8K
$167.79
Smart Money Signal
17 of 25 top traders (68%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.5¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$23.68 | 89% 28459-3534 (31993) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 63.2¢ | $885.48 | $991.67 | +$106.19 | 56% 15731-12383 (28114) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 64¢ | $596.71 | $654.88 | +$104.83 | 63% 60484-34932 (95416) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 63.7¢ | $276.99 | $435 | +$158.01 | 67% 101976-50273 (152249) |
PB PBot-5 | Upavg 80.7¢ | $314.62 | $385.22 | +$70.6 | 52% 12071-11070 (23141) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 66.8¢ | $159.82 | $191.2 | +$31.38 | 59% 11006-7559 (18565) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 68.5¢ | $153.88 | $186 | +$32.12 | 48% 6060-6618 (12678) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR | Downavg 48.8¢ | $155.56 | — | -$155.56 | 68% 22431-10753 (33184) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 16.6¢ | $201.6 | — | -$201.6 | 30% 11920-27934 (39854) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 86.9¢ | $90.83 | $104.57 | +$13.74 | 55% 51197-42485 (93682) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 73.6¢ | $62.58 | $85 | +$22.42 | 56% 60116-46677 (106793) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $60.11 | $47.78 | -$12.33 | 55% 51441-41799 (93240) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $25.13 | $35 | +$9.87 | 58% 62801-46029 (108830) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $23.01 | $30.27 | +$7.26 | 55% 49968-41527 (91495) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 69.5¢ | $22.68 | $25 | +$2.32 | 63% 42087-24722 (66809) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 75.3¢ | $18.84 | $25 | +$6.16 | 61% 45676-28767 (74443) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 73.4¢ | $26.38 | $20 | -$6.38 | 12% 18819-134084 (152903) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.2¢ | $11.6 | — | -$11.6 | 73% 95463-36102 (131565) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $13.8 | $10 | -$3.8 | 50% 8292-8346 (16638) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 68.5¢ | $7.81 | — | -$7.81 | 61% 98390-62338 (160728) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81.1¢ | $4.87 | $6 | +$1.13 | 65% 129569-69572 (199141) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 68.5¢ | $4.17 | — | -$4.17 | 66% 130042-67074 (197116) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.1¢ | $6.63 | — | -$6.63 | 60% 2700-1800 (4500) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 114237-61186 (175423) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $12 | — | -$12 | 51% 11558-11054 (22612) |
Invested
$1,533.31
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$23.68
Record
89%
28459-3534 (31993)
Invested
$885.48
Value
$991.67
PnL
+$106.19
Record
56%
15731-12383 (28114)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$596.71
Value
$654.88
PnL
+$104.83
Record
63%
60484-34932 (95416)
Invested
$276.99
Value
$435
PnL
+$158.01
Record
67%
101976-50273 (152249)
Invested
$314.62
Value
$385.22
PnL
+$70.6
Record
52%
12071-11070 (23141)
Invested
$159.82
Value
$191.2
PnL
+$31.38
Record
59%
11006-7559 (18565)
Invested
$153.88
Value
$186
PnL
+$32.12
Record
48%
6060-6618 (12678)
wowitsamazingCTRInvested
$155.56
Value
—
PnL
-$155.56
Record
68%
22431-10753 (33184)
Invested
$201.6
Value
—
PnL
-$201.6
Record
30%
11920-27934 (39854)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$90.83
Value
$104.57
PnL
+$13.74
Record
55%
51197-42485 (93682)
Invested
$62.58
Value
$85
PnL
+$22.42
Record
56%
60116-46677 (106793)
Invested
$60.11
Value
$47.78
PnL
-$12.33
Record
55%
51441-41799 (93240)
Invested
$25.13
Value
$35
PnL
+$9.87
Record
58%
62801-46029 (108830)
Invested
$23.01
Value
$30.27
PnL
+$7.26
Record
55%
49968-41527 (91495)
ohioism<$100Invested
$22.68
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.32
Record
63%
42087-24722 (66809)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$18.84
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.16
Record
61%
45676-28767 (74443)
Invested
$26.38
Value
$20
PnL
-$6.38
Record
12%
18819-134084 (152903)
Invested
$11.6
Value
—
PnL
-$11.6
Record
73%
95463-36102 (131565)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$10
PnL
-$3.8
Record
50%
8292-8346 (16638)
Invested
$7.81
Value
—
PnL
-$7.81
Record
61%
98390-62338 (160728)
Invested
$4.87
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.13
Record
65%
129569-69572 (199141)
Invested
$4.17
Value
—
PnL
-$4.17
Record
66%
130042-67074 (197116)
Invested
$6.63
Value
—
PnL
-$6.63
Record
60%
2700-1800 (4500)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
114237-61186 (175423)
Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$12
Record
51%
11558-11054 (22612)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.6K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $991.67

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $654.88
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $435
PBot-5
Up — $385.22
1000monkeys
Up — $191.2
asdcaxz
Up — $186

wowitsamazing
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0

MayorMamdani
Up — $104.57