Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 85%
$7.9K
$539.09
Smart Money Signal
17 of 20 top traders (85%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 88.8¢ | $2.4K | $2.7K | +$293.32 | 67% 101397-49715 (151112) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$21.37 | 91% 26779-2517 (29296) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 87.8¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$85.6 | 56% 15510-12186 (27696) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 91.5¢ | $1.1K | $949.99 | -$33.36 | 63% 60059-34551 (94610) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 94.8¢ | $313.44 | $330.68 | +$17.23 | 55% 50634-42081 (92715) |
PB PBot-5 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $149.41 | $280.41 | +$131 | 52% 11814-10830 (22644) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 71.2¢ | $209.63 | $255.03 | +$45.4 | 29% 11455-27656 (39111) |
RL RLWG | Upavg 88.1¢ | $180.08 | $147.04 | -$33.04 | 50% 8196-8216 (16412) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 62.4¢ | $70.64 | $106 | +$35.35 | 59% 10716-7383 (18099) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 94.1¢ | $60.31 | $54.99 | -$5.32 | 48% 5573-6007 (11580) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $83.84 | $55 | +$2.21 | 65% 128751-68998 (197749) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 93.4¢ | $51.96 | $54 | +$2.04 | 61% 2366-1492 (3858) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 78.5¢ | $29.83 | $38 | +$8.17 | 12% 18560-133902 (152462) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.2¢ | $34.04 | $35.37 | +$1.33 | 66% 129276-66666 (195942) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 83.8¢ | $18.79 | $22.43 | +$3.64 | 61% 97755-61856 (159611) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $10.21 | $21.28 | +$11.06 | 58% 51757-37804 (89561) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $17.86 | $20.55 | +$2.69 | 52% 93062-87484 (180546) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.6¢ | $43.43 | — | -$43.43 | 58% 13593-9802 (23395) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.9¢ | $1.73 | — | -$1.73 | 63% 41692-24326 (66018) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.8¢ | $4.45 | — | -$4.45 | 51% 11083-10569 (21652) |
Invested
$2,428.06
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$293.32
Record
67%
101397-49715 (151112)
Invested
$1,529.81
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$21.37
Record
91%
26779-2517 (29296)
Invested
$1,131.39
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$85.6
Record
56%
15510-12186 (27696)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,116.45
Value
$949.99
PnL
-$33.36
Record
63%
60059-34551 (94610)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$313.44
Value
$330.68
PnL
+$17.23
Record
55%
50634-42081 (92715)
Invested
$149.41
Value
$280.41
PnL
+$131
Record
52%
11814-10830 (22644)
Invested
$209.63
Value
$255.03
PnL
+$45.4
Record
29%
11455-27656 (39111)
Invested
$180.08
Value
$147.04
PnL
-$33.04
Record
50%
8196-8216 (16412)
Invested
$70.64
Value
$106
PnL
+$35.35
Record
59%
10716-7383 (18099)
Invested
$60.31
Value
$54.99
PnL
-$5.32
Record
48%
5573-6007 (11580)
Invested
$83.84
Value
$55
PnL
+$2.21
Record
65%
128751-68998 (197749)
Invested
$51.96
Value
$54
PnL
+$2.04
Record
61%
2366-1492 (3858)
Invested
$29.83
Value
$38
PnL
+$8.17
Record
12%
18560-133902 (152462)
Invested
$34.04
Value
$35.37
PnL
+$1.33
Record
66%
129276-66666 (195942)
Invested
$18.79
Value
$22.43
PnL
+$3.64
Record
61%
97755-61856 (159611)
Invested
$10.21
Value
$21.28
PnL
+$11.06
Record
58%
51757-37804 (89561)
Invested
$17.86
Value
$20.55
PnL
+$2.69
Record
52%
93062-87484 (180546)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$43.43
Value
—
PnL
-$43.43
Record
58%
13593-9802 (23395)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
63%
41692-24326 (66018)
Invested
$4.45
Value
—
PnL
-$4.45
Record
51%
11083-10569 (21652)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $2.7K
hoodquant
Up — $1.6K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.2K

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $949.99

MayorMamdani
Up — $330.68
PBot-5
Up — $280.41
Hcrystallash
Up — $255.03
RLWG
Up — $147.04
1000monkeys
Up — $106
asdcaxz
Up — $54.99