Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 91%

Total Value

$3.7K

Combined PnL

$223.53

Smart Money Signal

20 of 22 top traders (91%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up20 traders

Total Value$3.7K

Total Shares3,706

Combined PnL+$240.45

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares27

Combined PnL-$16.92

Up — 91%Down — 9%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.9¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$15.68	93% 24396-1815 (26211)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 74.7¢	$459.45	$580.77	+$121.32	67% 99941-48313 (148254)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 65.8¢	$539.79	$532.62	-$7.17	56% 14962-11750 (26712)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$475.23	$480.03	+$4.8	74% 103081-36567 (139648)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 72.7¢	$198.12	$224.02	+$25.9	54% 11340-9659 (20999)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 77.8¢	$73.93	$95	+$21.07	55% 46026-38373 (84399)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 80.6¢	$67.81	$58	-$2.81	64% 58938-33496 (92434)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 61.9¢	$44.77	$60	+$15.23	64% 25003-13825 (38828)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 69¢	$34.5	$50	+$15.5	65% 126537-67632 (194169)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Upavg 57.5¢	$28.42	$32	+$3.58	54% 15429-13323 (28752)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 65.3¢	$26	$35.82	+$9.82	55% 18445-15037 (33482)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 85¢	$16.75	$18	+$1.25	52% 91409-85832 (177241)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 61.5¢	$20.95	$30	+$9.05	56% 58690-45328 (104018)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85¢	$13.05	$15.35	+$2.3	61% 96144-60601 (156745)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$12.21	$12.22	+$0.01	59% 62706-43793 (106499)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 70.1¢	$11.4	$16.27	+$4.87	66% 127220-65455 (192675)
GO GoodRecipient<$100	Upavg 61¢	$5.79	$9.49	+$3.7	43% 659-869 (1528)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$7.35	—	-$7.35	50% 7995-8022 (16017)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$9.57	—	-$9.57	58% 61133-44652 (105785)
Atomforge<$100	Upavg 74¢	$6.65	$5.27	-$1.38	65% 4372-2402 (6774)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 73¢	$5.34	$3.89	-$1.45	62% 44337-27315 (71652)
AS asabovesobelow2<$100	Upavg 75¢	$3.5	$2.67	-$0.83	68% 1717-805 (2522)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,429.31

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$15.68

Record

93%

24396-1815 (26211)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$459.45

Value

$580.77

PnL

+$121.32

Record

67%

99941-48313 (148254)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$539.79

Value

$532.62

PnL

-$7.17

Record

56%

14962-11750 (26712)

BoneOhio

Invested

$475.23

Value

$480.03

PnL

+$4.8

Record

74%

103081-36567 (139648)

thesidehustle

Invested

$198.12

Value

$224.02

PnL

+$25.9

Record

54%

11340-9659 (20999)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$73.93

Value

$95

PnL

+$21.07

Record

55%

46026-38373 (84399)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$67.81

Value

$58

PnL

-$2.81

Record

64%

58938-33496 (92434)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$44.77

Value

$60

PnL

+$15.23

Record

64%

25003-13825 (38828)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$34.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$15.5

Record

65%

126537-67632 (194169)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$28.42

Value

$32

PnL

+$3.58

Record

54%

15429-13323 (28752)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$26

Value

$35.82

PnL

+$9.82

Record

55%

18445-15037 (33482)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$16.75

Value

$18

PnL

+$1.25

Record

52%

91409-85832 (177241)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$20.95

Value

$30

PnL

+$9.05

Record

56%

58690-45328 (104018)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$13.05

Value

$15.35

PnL

+$2.3

Record

61%

96144-60601 (156745)

0x50f7<$100

Invested

$12.21

Value

$12.22

PnL

+$0.01

Record

59%

62706-43793 (106499)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$11.4

Value

$16.27

PnL

+$4.87

Record

66%

127220-65455 (192675)

GoodRecipient<$100

Invested

$5.79

Value

$9.49

PnL

+$3.7

Record

43%

659-869 (1528)

RLWGCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$7.35

Value

—

PnL

-$7.35

Record

50%

7995-8022 (16017)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$9.57

Value

—

PnL

-$9.57

Record

58%

61133-44652 (105785)

Atomforge<$100

Invested

$6.65

Value

$5.27

PnL

-$1.38

Record

65%

4372-2402 (6774)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$5.34

Value

$3.89

PnL

-$1.45

Record

62%

44337-27315 (71652)

asabovesobelow2<$100

Invested

$3.5

Value

$2.67

PnL

-$0.83

Record

68%

1717-805 (2522)

Smart Money Signal

20 of 22 top traders (91%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x307fe692...4ae90a

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1793588400

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.4K

+$15.68

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $580.77

+$121.32

CrouchPredictions

Up — $532.62

-$7.17

BoneOhio

Up — $480.03

+$4.8

thesidehustle

Up — $224.02

+$25.9

MayorMamdani

Up — $95

+$21.07

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $58

-$2.81

aaa221

Up — $60

+$15.23

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $50

+$15.5

aswfadq1555

Up — $32

+$3.58

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