Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

EC Juventude vs. Botafogo FC: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Over 22%
1 arb excluded
$317.73
-$176.51
Smart Money Signal
2 of 9 top traders (22%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Overavg 99Β’ | $215.36 | $217.54 | +$2.18 | 99% 518-7 (525) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 6.2Β’ | $29.89 | β | -$29.89 | 47% 985-1122 (2107) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 19.7Β’ | $81.13 | β | -$81.13 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 10Β’ | $28.01 | β | -$28.01 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
![]() alpheclabs2<$100 | Overavg 97Β’ | $75.05 | $77.37 | +$2.32 | 46% 316-377 (693) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 85.1Β’ | $34.49 | $22.82 | -$11.67 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 16.9Β’ | $15.06 | β | -$15.06 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 85.1Β’ | $19.43 | $22.82 | +$3.39 | |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 12.5Β’ | $20.09 | β | -$20.09 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 10Β’ | $11.83 | β | -$11.83 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 26.4Β’ | $8.95 | β | -$8.95 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 22Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
Invested
$215.36
Value
$217.54
PnL
+$2.18
Record
99%
518-7 (525)
Invested
$29.89
Value
β
PnL
-$29.89
Record
47%
985-1122 (2107)
Invested
$81.13
Value
β
PnL
-$81.13
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
Invested
$28.01
Value
β
PnL
-$28.01
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
alpheclabs2<$100Invested
$75.05
Value
$77.37
PnL
+$2.32
Record
46%
316-377 (693)
Invested
$34.49
Value
$22.82
PnL
-$11.67
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Both legs:
Invested
$20.09
Value
β
PnL
-$20.09
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
Invested
$11.83
Value
β
PnL
-$11.83
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$8.95
Value
β
PnL
-$8.95
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Over β $217.54
SnakeBall
CTRUnder β $0
LuckyLoo
CTRUnder β $0
LightParadox
CTRUnder β $0

alpheclabs2
Over β $77.37
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
GoalLineGhost
CTRUnder β $0
MadridTime
CTRUnder β $0
Limousin
CTRUnder β $0
Venusian
CTRUnder β $0