Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was EC Juventude — and it was correct. Winning outcome: EC Juventude

Spread: EC Juventude (-1.5)

Resolved EC Juventude. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held EC Juventude. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

EC Juventude 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$797.72

Combined PnL

$138.67

EC Juventude

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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EC Juventude100%

Botafogo FC0%

EC Juventude3 traders

Total Value$747.72

Total Shares748

Combined PnL+$399.76

Botafogo FC2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares441

Combined PnL-$261.1

EC Juventude — 60%Botafogo FC — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	EC Juventudeavg 43.8¢	$302.16	$644.01	+$341.85	53% 2249-2030 (4279)
VeryLucky888CTR	Botafogo FCavg 56.2¢	$367.46	—	-$261.1	54% 1525-1316 (2841)
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Botafogo FCavg 60.7¢	$76.43	$50	-$26.43	49% 4123-4317 (8440)
└ EC Juventude leg	EC Juventudeavg 74.5¢	$37.25	$50	+$12.75
└ Botafogo FC leg	Botafogo FCavg 60.7¢	$39.18	—	-$39.18
VE Venusian<$100	EC Juventudeavg 44.2¢	$43.65	$98.71	+$55.06	37% 1070-1834 (2904)
SE sentrio<$100	EC Juventudeavg 43¢	$2.15	$5	+$2.85	42% 1060-1490 (2550)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Botafogo FCavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	68% 136-63 (199)