Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
No 80%
$2.8K
$326.67
Smart Money Signal
13 of 17 top traders (76%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 85.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.6K | +$173.97 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
 RN1 | Noavg 90¢ | $628.24 | $693.87 | +$65.63 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 72.5¢ | $97.17 | $134 | +$36.83 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
LI LightParadox | Noavg 71.6¢ | $78.14 | $109.16 | +$31.03 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $36.96 | $54.36 | +$17.39 | 42% 1060-1490 (2550) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 66.2¢ | $39.82 | $50.61 | +$10.79 | 32% 385-828 (1213) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | $49.5 | $50 | +$0.5 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Noavg 92.6¢ | $45.6 | $46.7 | +$1.1 | 78% 805-225 (1030) |
 Secondhandvinyl<$100 | Noavg 96.8¢ | $44.47 | $45.96 | +$1.49 | 77% 294-89 (383) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 86.4¢ | $21.6 | $25 | +$3.4 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 98.3¢ | $21.07 | $21.43 | +$0.36 | 47% 985-1122 (2107) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 90¢ | $18.49 | $20.54 | +$2.05 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $26.73 | — | -$13.13 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 45% 717-880 (1597) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $1.63 | — | -$1.63 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 64¢ | $0.01 | $0.02 | +$0.01 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 47% 1041-1174 (2215) |
Invested
$1,379.03
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$173.97
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
RN1Invested
$628.24
Value
$693.87
PnL
+$65.63
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$97.17
Value
$134
PnL
+$36.83
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
Invested
$78.14
Value
$109.16
PnL
+$31.03
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$36.96
Value
$54.36
PnL
+$17.39
Record
42%
1060-1490 (2550)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$39.82
Value
$50.61
PnL
+$10.79
Record
32%
385-828 (1213)
Invested
$49.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.5
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$45.6
Value
$46.7
PnL
+$1.1
Record
78%
805-225 (1030)
Secondhandvinyl<$100Invested
$44.47
Value
$45.96
PnL
+$1.49
Record
77%
294-89 (383)
Invested
$21.6
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.4
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$21.07
Value
$21.43
PnL
+$0.36
Record
47%
985-1122 (2107)
Invested
$18.49
Value
$20.54
PnL
+$2.05
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$26.73
Value
—
PnL
-$13.13
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
45%
717-880 (1597)
Invested
$1.63
Value
—
PnL
-$1.63
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Invested
$0.01
Value
$0.02
PnL
+$0.01
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
47%
1041-1174 (2215)