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UnderOver
dips.CTR<$100OverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Fortaleza EC vs. Vila Nova FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 80%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
-$4.98
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$3.4
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares126
Combined PnL-$8.38
Under — 20%Over — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 83¢ | $16.6 | $20 | +$3.4 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $2.67 | — | -$2.67 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 47% 1041-1174 (2215) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 16¢ | $2.56 | — | -$2.56 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 24¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$16.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.4
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$2.67
Value
—
PnL
-$2.67
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
47%
1041-1174 (2215)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$2.56
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2076088f...ef948e
Slug
bra2-fec-vln-2026-11-14-total-3pt5