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NoNoNoYesNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Fortaleza EC vs. Vila Nova FC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 75%
Total Value
$35.77
Combined PnL
$2.73
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$35.77
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$6.67
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$3.94
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SM smithagent<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $15 | $20 | +$5 | 45% 717-880 (1597) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | $8.54 | $9.99 | +$1.45 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 | 42% 1060-1490 (2550) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | $0.55 | $0.77 | +$0.22 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | $0.01 | $0.01 | +$0 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$15
Value
$20
PnL
+$5
Record
45%
717-880 (1597)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$8.54
Value
$9.99
PnL
+$1.45
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
1060-1490 (2550)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
$0.77
PnL
+$0.22
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4cf88db5...44ea02
Slug
bra2-fec-vln-2026-11-14-draw