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UnderUnderOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Botafogo FC vs. Londrina EC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$110.77
Combined PnL
-$35.71
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$39.28
Over1 trader
Total Value$10.8
Total Shares11
Combined PnL+$3.56
Under — 75%Over — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $327.06 | $99.97 | -$227.09 | 51% 26028-24687 (50715) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 47¢ | $276.99 | — | -$276.99 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 50.1¢ | $50.07 | $99.97 | +$49.89 | |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 33¢ | $34.25 | — | -$34.25 | 51% 37791-37025 (74816) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 67¢ | $7.24 | $10.8 | +$3.56 | 47% 11844-13618 (25462) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 50.2¢ | $2.51 | — | -$2.51 | 51% 1484-1427 (2911) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 50.2¢ | $2.51 | — | -$2.51 | 50% 1440-1447 (2887) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$327.06
Value
$99.97
PnL
-$227.09
Record
51%
26028-24687 (50715)
Both legs:
Under$276.9947¢-$276.99
Over$50.0750.1¢+$49.89
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$34.25
Value
—
PnL
-$34.25
Record
51%
37791-37025 (74816)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$7.24
Value
$10.8
PnL
+$3.56
Record
47%
11844-13618 (25462)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$2.51
Value
—
PnL
-$2.51
Record
51%
1484-1427 (2911)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$2.51
Value
—
PnL
-$2.51
Record
50%
1440-1447 (2887)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x51bc719b...d9bcc8
Slug
bra2-bot-lon-2026-11-06-total-2pt5