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UnderOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
AC Goianiense vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 80%
Total Value
$38
Combined PnL
-$217.68
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$38
Total Shares38
Combined PnL+$5.16
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,736
Combined PnL-$222.84
Under — 20%Over — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 86.4¢ | $32.84 | $38 | +$5.16 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 12.8¢ | $203.11 | — | -$203.11 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 13¢ | $17.68 | — | -$17.68 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 11¢ | $1.21 | — | -$1.21 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 14¢ | $0.84 | — | -$0.84 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$32.84
Value
$38
PnL
+$5.16
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$203.11
Value
—
PnL
-$203.11
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$17.68
Value
—
PnL
-$17.68
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$1.21
Value
—
PnL
-$1.21
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x84541edc...bcb5b4
Slug
bra2-acg-cui-2026-11-14-total-4pt5