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YesNoNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100NoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Fluminense FC leading at halftime?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$559.77
Combined PnL
-$288.2
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$451.84
Total Shares452
Combined PnL+$163.97
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares623
Combined PnL-$452.17
Yes — 20%No — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 40.3¢ | $287.88 | $451.84 | +$163.97 | 50% 28826-28639 (57465) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 64.5¢ | $404.43 | $107.93 | -$296.5 | 51% 26809-25398 (52207) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 48.9¢ | $52.78 | $107.93 | +$55.15 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 64.5¢ | $351.65 | — | -$351.65 | |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Noavg 73.8¢ | $307.4 | — | -$307.4 | 48% 1701-1821 (3522) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $85 | — | -$85 | 58% 47297-34106 (81403) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $33.86 | — | -$33.86 | 49% 14954-15836 (30790) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Noavg 72¢ | $25.91 | — | -$25.91 | 49% 1726-1810 (3536) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$287.88
Value
$451.84
PnL
+$163.97
Record
50%
28826-28639 (57465)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$404.43
Value
$107.93
PnL
-$296.5
Record
51%
26809-25398 (52207)
Both legs:
Yes$52.7848.9¢+$55.15
No$351.6564.5¢-$351.65
MA
MadridTimeCTRInvested
$307.4
Value
—
PnL
-$307.4
Record
48%
1701-1821 (3522)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$85
Value
—
PnL
-$85
Record
58%
47297-34106 (81403)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$33.86
Value
—
PnL
-$33.86
Record
49%
14954-15836 (30790)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$25.91
Value
—
PnL
-$25.91
Record
49%
1726-1810 (3536)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc5357a11...757602
Slug
bra-vit-flu-2026-11-06-halftime-result-away