Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Under 56%
1 arb excluded
$8.3K
$-4.8K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 37.2¢ | $4.5K | — | $-4.5K | 51% 24452-23135 (47587) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 53.4¢ | $1.6K | $2.6K | +$990.19 | 50% 27855-27713 (55568) |
MA MadridTime | Underavg 49.6¢ | $1.3K | $2.6K | +$1.3K | 50% 1182-1169 (2351) |
 ZaiZoiBele | Underavg 99¢ | $2.4K | $2.3K | -$74.14 | 80% 5246-1340 (6586) |
 RN1CTR | Overavg 45.4¢ | $2.5K | — | $-2.5K | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
DI dips. | Underavg 88.3¢ | $315.59 | $295.89 | +$23.46 | 47% 10417-11885 (22302) |
 poshposh | Underavg 38.4¢ | $80.98 | $210.7 | +$129.72 | 57% 12394-9456 (21850) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Overavg 46.2¢ | $193.94 | — | -$193.94 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
LI LightParadox | Underavg 46.1¢ | $84.37 | $183 | +$98.63 | 52% 1242-1155 (2397) |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Overavg 3.3¢ | $92.33 | $51 | -$41.33 | 53% 1287-1130 (2417) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 50.4¢ | $25.7 | $51 | +$25.3 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 3.3¢ | $66.63 | — | -$66.63 | |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Underavg 89.2¢ | $58.92 | $66.06 | +$7.14 | 42% 2373-3231 (5604) |
FO forrestgumper<$100 | Underavg 59.3¢ | $30.16 | $50.83 | +$20.67 | 48% 654-715 (1369) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Underavg 69.1¢ | $33.6 | $48.63 | +$15.03 | 50% 20843-21072 (41915) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 28.2¢ | $29.74 | — | -$29.74 | 49% 14392-15079 (29471) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Overavg 71¢ | $10.15 | — | -$10.15 | 66% 24032-12204 (36236) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 24.9¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 51% 1246-1188 (2434) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 33¢ | $1.23 | — | -$1.23 | 58% 45573-32987 (78560) |
Invested
$4,545.95
Value
—
PnL
$-4.5K
Record
51%
24452-23135 (47587)
Invested
$1,576.62
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$990.19
Record
50%
27855-27713 (55568)
Invested
$1,285.7
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
50%
1182-1169 (2351)
ZaiZoiBeleInvested
$2,359.68
Value
$2.3K
PnL
-$74.14
Record
80%
5246-1340 (6586)
RN1CTRInvested
$2,492.31
Value
—
PnL
$-2.5K
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
Invested
$315.59
Value
$295.89
PnL
+$23.46
Record
47%
10417-11885 (22302)
poshposhInvested
$80.98
Value
$210.7
PnL
+$129.72
Record
57%
12394-9456 (21850)
Invested
$193.94
Value
—
PnL
-$193.94
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
Invested
$84.37
Value
$183
PnL
+$98.63
Record
52%
1242-1155 (2397)
Invested
$92.33
Value
$51
PnL
-$41.33
Record
53%
1287-1130 (2417)
Both legs:
Invested
$58.92
Value
$66.06
PnL
+$7.14
Record
42%
2373-3231 (5604)
Invested
$30.16
Value
$50.83
PnL
+$20.67
Record
48%
654-715 (1369)
Invested
$33.6
Value
$48.63
PnL
+$15.03
Record
50%
20843-21072 (41915)
Invested
$29.74
Value
—
PnL
-$29.74
Record
49%
14392-15079 (29471)
Invested
$10.15
Value
—
PnL
-$10.15
Record
66%
24032-12204 (36236)
Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
51%
1246-1188 (2434)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
—
PnL
-$1.23
Record
58%
45573-32987 (78560)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
CTROver — $0
GoalLineGhost
Under — $2.6K
MadridTime
Under — $2.6K
ZaiZoiBele
Under — $2.3K
RN1
CTROver — $0
dips.
Under — $295.89
poshposh
Under — $210.7
topdogbigboi
CTROver — $0
LightParadox
Under — $183
Limousin
ARBArbitrage — excluded