Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was CR Vasco da Gama — but Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won instead.

Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)
Resolved Associação Chapecoense de Futebol. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held CR Vasco da Gama. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
CR Vasco da Gama 71%
$90.9
-$12.18
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebolavg 82.9¢ | $53.45 | $64.46 | +$11.01 | 53% 2421-2179 (4600) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebolavg 77¢ | $20.35 | $26.43 | +$6.08 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | CR Vasco da Gamaavg 20.4¢ | $9.48 | — | -$9.48 | 38% 1210-2005 (3215) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | CR Vasco da Gamaavg 26¢ | $8.21 | — | -$8.21 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | CR Vasco da Gamaavg 22¢ | $5.64 | — | -$5.64 | 36% 595-1070 (1665) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | CR Vasco da Gamaavg 24¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 44% 290-365 (655) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | CR Vasco da Gamaavg 21¢ | $1.51 | — | -$1.51 | 38% 1223-2021 (3244) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | CR Vasco da Gamaavg 21¢ | $6.64 | — | +$1.57 | 82% 260-57 (317) |
Invested
$53.45
Value
$64.46
PnL
+$11.01
Record
53%
2421-2179 (4600)
Invested
$20.35
Value
$26.43
PnL
+$6.08
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
Invested
$9.48
Value
—
PnL
-$9.48
Record
38%
1210-2005 (3215)
Invested
$8.21
Value
—
PnL
-$8.21
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
Invested
$5.64
Value
—
PnL
-$5.64
Record
36%
595-1070 (1665)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
44%
290-365 (655)
Invested
$1.51
Value
—
PnL
-$1.51
Record
38%
1223-2021 (3244)
Invested
$6.64
Value
—
PnL
+$1.57
Record
82%
260-57 (317)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoalLineGhost
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol — $64.46
Flaznorp
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol — $26.43
Venusian
CTRCR Vasco da Gama — $0
topdogbigboi
CTRCR Vasco da Gama — $0
LuckyLoo
CTRCR Vasco da Gama — $0
Forecastication2
CTRCR Vasco da Gama — $0
LightParadox
CTRCR Vasco da Gama — $0
Vampiro1
CTRCR Vasco da Gama — $0