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RN1<$100YesYesYesYesNoNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
CR Vasco da Gama leading at halftime?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$178.68
Combined PnL
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$178.68
Total Shares179
Combined PnL+$41.28
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,266
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1<$100 | Yesavg 52.7¢ | $79.07 | $83.04 | +$3.97 | 54% 5793-4838 (10631) |
SU suntori<$100 | Yesavg 52¢ | $34.28 | $65.92 | +$31.64 | 46% 3003-3542 (6545) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Yesavg 79.8¢ | $14.04 | $17.2 | +$3.16 | 38% 1390-2228 (3618) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Yesavg 80¢ | $10.02 | $12.52 | +$2.5 | 40% 658-980 (1638) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Noavg 54.3¢ | $501.99 | — | -$501.99 | 47% 1103-1245 (2348) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 53.2¢ | $418.68 | — | -$418.68 | 53% 2421-2179 (4600) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 47.9¢ | $229.49 | — | -$229.49 | 48% 4388-4660 (9048) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Noavg 48¢ | $35.88 | — | -$35.88 | 56% 621-486 (1107) |
RN1<$100Invested
$79.07
Value
$83.04
PnL
+$3.97
Record
54%
5793-4838 (10631)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$34.28
Value
$65.92
PnL
+$31.64
Record
46%
3003-3542 (6545)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$14.04
Value
$17.2
PnL
+$3.16
Record
38%
1390-2228 (3618)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$10.02
Value
$12.52
PnL
+$2.5
Record
40%
658-980 (1638)
SN
SnakeBallCTRInvested
$501.99
Value
—
PnL
-$501.99
Record
47%
1103-1245 (2348)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$418.68
Value
—
PnL
-$418.68
Record
53%
2421-2179 (4600)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$229.49
Value
—
PnL
-$229.49
Record
48%
4388-4660 (9048)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$35.88
Value
—
PnL
-$35.88
Record
56%
621-486 (1107)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0f3ab53...d0e512
Slug
bra-cha-vas-2026-11-14-halftime-result-away