Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Exact Score: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 0 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
No 67%
$845.03
-$37.02
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 11¢ | $74.27 | $675.17 | +$600.9 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Noavg 89¢ | $327.19 | — | -$327.19 | 38% 1230-1969 (3199) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Noavg 89¢ | $326.53 | — | -$326.53 | 38% 1223-2021 (3244) |
 VeryLucky888 | Yesavg 11¢ | $17.28 | $157.81 | +$140.53 | 54% 1691-1455 (3146) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | $79.68 | — | -$79.68 | 38% 1202-1984 (3186) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Noavg 88.7¢ | $34.44 | — | -$34.44 | 47% 1088-1236 (2324) |
LO looppau<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $12.04 | $12.05 | +$0.01 | 99% 774-2 (776) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 72¢ | $5.46 | — | -$5.46 | 38% 1351-2180 (3531) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | $5.16 | — | -$5.16 | 55% 5758-4807 (10565) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $27 | — | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
Invested
$74.27
Value
$675.17
PnL
+$600.9
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
Invested
$327.19
Value
—
PnL
-$327.19
Record
38%
1230-1969 (3199)
Invested
$326.53
Value
—
PnL
-$326.53
Record
38%
1223-2021 (3244)
VeryLucky888Invested
$17.28
Value
$157.81
PnL
+$140.53
Record
54%
1691-1455 (3146)
Invested
$79.68
Value
—
PnL
-$79.68
Record
38%
1202-1984 (3186)
Invested
$34.44
Value
—
PnL
-$34.44
Record
47%
1088-1236 (2324)
Invested
$12.04
Value
$12.05
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
774-2 (776)
Invested
$5.46
Value
—
PnL
-$5.46
Record
38%
1351-2180 (3531)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$5.16
Value
—
PnL
-$5.16
Record
55%
5758-4807 (10565)
Invested
$27
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)