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YesNoYesYes
tradecraft<$100YesNo
rayvanmechelenCTRNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will SV Meppen 1912 win on 2026-11-08?
Resolved Yes. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 43%
Total Value
$4.2K
Combined PnL
-$700.09
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$4.2K
Total Shares4,199
Combined PnL+$1.3K
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,708
Combined PnL$-2.0K
Yes — 63%No — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 41.2¢ | $178.53 | $4.0K | +$1.2K | 52% 47368-44608 (91976) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 11.6¢ | $437.73 | — | -$437.73 | 50% 32582-32710 (65292) |
LO looppau | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $105.58 | $105.58 | +$0.11 | 99% 15884-134 (16018) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Yesavg 41¢ | $36.66 | $66.36 | +$29.7 | 50% 27970-27422 (55392) |
tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 41¢ | $5.63 | $13.72 | +$8.09 | 51% 6692-6432 (13124) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Noavg 57.5¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 50% 23496-23498 (46994) |
rayvanmechelenCTR | Noavg 59¢ | $187.57 | — | -$187.57 | 53% 2999-2623 (5622) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 195-152 (347) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$178.53
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
52%
47368-44608 (91976)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$437.73
Value
—
PnL
-$437.73
Record
50%
32582-32710 (65292)
LO
looppauInvested
$105.58
Value
$105.58
PnL
+$0.11
Record
99%
15884-134 (16018)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$36.66
Value
$66.36
PnL
+$29.7
Record
50%
27970-27422 (55392)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$5.63
Value
$13.72
PnL
+$8.09
Record
51%
6692-6432 (13124)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTRInvested
$1,332.94
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
50%
23496-23498 (46994)
rayvanmechelenCTRInvested
$187.57
Value
—
PnL
-$187.57
Record
53%
2999-2623 (5622)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
195-152 (347)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4536035e...2f430f
Slug
bl3-mep-jah-2026-11-08-mep