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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Perth Wildcats vs. Tasmania JackJumpers: O/U 184.5

Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Under 63%

Total Value

$153.91

Combined PnL

-$144.98

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders

Total Value$153.91

Total Shares154

Combined PnL+$74.3

Under6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares352

Combined PnL-$219.29

Over — 40%Under — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
poshposh<$100	Overavg 43¢	$49.11	$77.59	+$28.48	47% 522-581 (1103)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Underavg 53.5¢	$88.8	—	-$88.8	51% 2532-2437 (4969)
VeryLucky888<$100	Overavg 42.1¢	$23.15	$43.02	+$25.12	52% 761-712 (1473)
LR lryyy<$100	Overavg 34.5¢	$12.6	$33.3	+$20.7	44% 384-486 (870)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Underavg 64.9¢	$83.93	—	-$80.62	47% 1583-1774 (3357)
NO NotradecopyCTR<$100	Underavg 57¢	$40.02	—	-$40.02	10% 20-175 (195)
dips.CTR<$100	Underavg 4¢	$1.99	—	-$1.99	45% 530-649 (1179)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Underavg 52.3¢	$7.86	—	-$7.86	49% 1228-1254 (2482)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Underavg 4¢	$0.01	—	-$0.01	43% 344-463 (807)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Overavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	83% 93-19 (112)

Invested

$49.11

Value

$77.59

PnL

+$28.48

Record

47%

522-581 (1103)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Invested

$88.8

Value

—

PnL

-$88.8

Record

51%

2532-2437 (4969)

VeryLucky888<$100

Invested

$23.15

Value

$43.02

PnL

+$25.12

Record

52%

761-712 (1473)

Invested

$12.6

Value

$33.3

PnL

+$20.7

Record

44%

384-486 (870)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$83.93

Value

—

PnL

-$80.62

Record

47%

1583-1774 (3357)

NotradecopyCTR<$100

Invested

$40.02

Value

—

PnL

-$40.02

Record

10%

20-175 (195)

Invested

$1.99

Value

—

PnL

-$1.99

Record

45%

530-649 (1179)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Invested

$7.86

Value

—

PnL

-$7.86

Record

49%

1228-1254 (2482)

smithagentCTR<$100

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

43%

344-463 (807)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$400

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

83%

93-19 (112)

Smart Money Signal

Under

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa7ed4d71...b25e9a

Slug

bknbl-per-tas-2026-11-12-total-184pt5

Traders in this Market

poshposh

Over — $77.59

Flaznorp

Under — $0

VeryLucky888

Over — $43.02

lryyy

Over — $33.3

suntori

Under — $0

Notradecopy

Under — $0

dips.

Under — $0

ferdinand2

Under — $0

smithagent

Under — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Over — $0

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