Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Melbourne United — but Adelaide 36ers won instead.

Spread: Melbourne United (-4.5)

Resolved Adelaide 36ers. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Melbourne United. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Melbourne United 40%

Total Value

$524.87

Combined PnL

-$144.77

Melbourne United

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Melbourne United0%

Adelaide 36ers100%

Adelaide 36ers3 traders

Total Value$524.87

Total Shares525

Combined PnL+$245.73

Melbourne United3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares953

Combined PnL-$390.5

Adelaide 36ers — 50%Melbourne United — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GA GamblingAddict12345	Adelaide 36ersavg 53¢	$160.97	$303.72	+$142.75	47% 20-23 (43)
VeryLucky888	Adelaide 36ersavg 53.7¢	$161	$216.16	+$102.98	52% 761-712 (1473)
SU suntoriCTR	Melbourne Unitedavg 46.6¢	$373.52	—	-$310.78	47% 1583-1774 (3357)
LO looppau<$100	Adelaide 36ersavg 99.9¢	$5	$5	+$0	100% 373-0 (373)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Melbourne Unitedavg 31.4¢	$79.72	—	-$79.72	51% 2532-2437 (4969)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Melbourne Unitedavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	83% 93-19 (112)