Minas Tenis Clube MG vs. Unifacisa

3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Minas Tenis Clube MG (60%) · Minas Tenis Clube MG at 76¢ · $914 held · ends Nov 18

Minas Tenis Clube MG76¢Unifacisa24¢Ends Wed, Nov 18, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Minas Tenis Clube MG

Consensus Traders

Minas Tenis Clube MG 60%

Total Value

$914.32

Combined PnL

$10.45

Smart Money Entry

72.9¢ → 75.5¢

+4% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

AvoidMinas Tenis Clube MG at 76%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Minas Tenis Clube MG

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Minas Tenis Clube MG76%

Unifacisa25%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Minas Tenis Clube MG3 traders

Total Value$829.64

Total Shares1,095

Combined PnL+$31.69

Unifacisa2 traders

Total Value$84.69

Total Shares394

Combined PnL-$21.25

Minas Tenis Clube MG — 60%Unifacisa — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Minas Tenis Clube MGavg 72.9¢	$678.31	$702.96	+$24.64	51% 1818-1779 (3597)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Unifacisaavg 26.8¢	$99.58	$79.8	-$19.77	52% 441-414 (855)
SE sentrio<$100	Minas Tenis Clube MGavg 72.4¢	$72.58	$78.68	+$6.1	37% 339-567 (906)
ST stepanka1234<$100	Minas Tenis Clube MGavg 74¢	$47.05	$48	+$0.95	— 3-6 (9)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Unifacisaavg 28¢	$6.36	$4.88	-$1.48	31% 373-839 (1212)

Flaznorp

Minas Tenis Clube MG

Invested

$678.31

Value

$702.96

PnL

+$24.64

Record

51%

1818-1779 (3597)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Unifacisa

Invested

$99.58

Value

$79.8

PnL

-$19.77

Record

52%

441-414 (855)

sentrio<$100

Minas Tenis Clube MG

Invested

$72.58

Value

$78.68

PnL

+$6.1

Record

37%

339-567 (906)

stepanka1234<$100

Minas Tenis Clube MG

Invested

$47.05

Value

$48

PnL

+$0.95

Record

—

3-6 (9)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Unifacisa

Invested

$6.36

Value

$4.88

PnL

-$1.48

Record

31%

373-839 (1212)

Research grade

AvoidMinas Tenis Clube MG at 76%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Minas Tenis Clube MG

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Minas Tenis Clube MG wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance77.4%

75.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$29.20

Max Loss

-$100.00

129.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.