Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Brasilia Basquete — but EC Uniao Corinthians won instead.

EC Uniao Corinthians vs. Brasilia Basquete

Resolved EC Uniao Corinthians. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Brasilia Basquete. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Brasilia Basquete 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$154

Combined PnL

-$63.85

Brasilia Basquete

4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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EC Uniao Corinthians100%

Brasilia Basquete0%

EC Uniao Corinthians3 traders

Total Value$60.96

Total Shares61

Combined PnL+$36.1

Brasilia Basquete4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares201

Combined PnL-$99.95

EC Uniao Corinthians — 43%Brasilia Basquete — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	Brasilia Basqueteavg 16.7¢	$178.13	$93.04	-$159.33	53% 330-294 (624)
└ EC Uniao Corinthians leg	EC Uniao Corinthiansavg 42.8¢	$39.81	$93.04	+$53.23
└ Brasilia Basquete leg	Brasilia Basqueteavg 16.7¢	$138.31	—	-$212.56
VE Venusian<$100	EC Uniao Corinthiansavg 40¢	$17.39	$43.47	+$26.08	27% 128-350 (478)
MA MadridTime<$100	EC Uniao Corinthiansavg 44¢	$4.4	$10	+$5.6	26% 121-344 (465)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Brasilia Basqueteavg 44¢	$44	—	-$52.95	46% 175-208 (383)
tradecraft<$100	EC Uniao Corinthiansavg 41¢	$3.07	$7.49	+$4.42	18% 63-288 (351)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Brasilia Basqueteavg 61¢	$5.81	—	-$5.81	28% 99-254 (353)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Brasilia Basqueteavg 42.3¢	$39.75	—	-$39.75	55% 77-63 (140)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Brasilia Basqueteavg 59¢	$1.44	—	-$1.44	52% 119-110 (229)