BC Nevezis Kedainiai vs. BC Juventus Utena

5 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold BC Nevezis Kedainiai (71%) · BC Nevezis Kedainiai at 59¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 21

BC Nevezis Kedainiai59¢BC Juventus Utena41¢Ends Sat, Nov 21, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Consensus Traders

BC Nevezis Kedainiai 71%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

-$110.8

Smart Money Entry

43.2¢ → 59¢

+36% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

AvoidBC Nevezis Kedainiai at 59%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

5 of 7 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

BC Nevezis Kedainiai59%

BC Juventus Utena41%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BC Juventus Utena2 traders

Total Value$211.75

Total Shares507

Combined PnL-$73.46

BC Nevezis Kedainiai5 traders

Total Value$366.04

Total Shares925

Combined PnL-$37.33

BC Juventus Utena — 29%BC Nevezis Kedainiai — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpARB<$100	BC Juventus Utenaavg 39¢	$560.81	$595.03	+$34.22	49% 3867-4029 (7896)
└ BC Nevezis Kedainiai leg	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 38.5¢	$163.99	$304.75	+$140.76
└ BC Juventus Utena leg	BC Juventus Utenaavg 39¢	$396.82	$290.28	-$106.54
NO NotJumpARB<$100	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 50¢	$525	$472.5	-$52.5	52% 833-779 (1612)
└ BC Juventus Utena leg	BC Juventus Utenaavg 50¢	$262.5	$304.5	+$42
└ BC Nevezis Kedainiai leg	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 50¢	$262.5	$168	-$94.5
ARTEM-DZYUBAARB<$100	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 54.4¢	$216.74	$222.6	+$5.85	83% 729-152 (881)
└ BC Nevezis Kedainiai leg	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 54.4¢	$127.82	$170.35	+$42.52
└ BC Juventus Utena leg	BC Juventus Utenaavg 46.8¢	$88.92	$52.25	-$36.67
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	BC Juventus Utenaavg 55.6¢	$269.07	$198.56	-$70.51	46% 497-591 (1088)
SL SlickRick123	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 36¢	$204.04	$181.37	-$22.67	34% 370-708 (1078)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 67.1¢	$141.83	$134.17	-$7.66	38% 550-887 (1437)
LR lryyy<$100	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 38¢	$33.44	$28.16	-$5.28	45% 814-997 (1811)
tradecraftCTR<$100	BC Juventus Utenaavg 71¢	$16.14	$13.18	-$2.96	31% 343-780 (1123)
poshposh<$100	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 41¢	$15.71	$13.12	-$2.59	48% 1134-1214 (2348)
SE sentrio<$100	BC Nevezis Kedainiaiavg 29¢	$8.36	$9.22	+$0.86	42% 1008-1381 (2389)

FlaznorpARB<$100

BC Juventus Utena

Invested

$560.81

Value

$595.03

PnL

+$34.22

Record

49%

3867-4029 (7896)

Both legs:

BC Nevezis Kedainiai$163.9938.5¢+$140.76

BC Juventus Utena$396.8239¢-$106.54

NotJumpARB<$100

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Invested

$525

Value

$472.5

PnL

-$52.5

Record

52%

833-779 (1612)

Both legs:

BC Juventus Utena$262.550¢+$42

BC Nevezis Kedainiai$262.550¢-$94.5

ARTEM-DZYUBAARB<$100

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Invested

$216.74

Value

$222.6

PnL

+$5.85

Record

83%

729-152 (881)

Both legs:

BC Nevezis Kedainiai$127.8254.4¢+$42.52

BC Juventus Utena$88.9246.8¢-$36.67

omnibus-076daaCTR

BC Juventus Utena

Invested

$269.07

Value

$198.56

PnL

-$70.51

Record

46%

497-591 (1088)

SlickRick123

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Invested

$204.04

Value

$181.37

PnL

-$22.67

Record

34%

370-708 (1078)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Invested

$141.83

Value

$134.17

PnL

-$7.66

Record

38%

550-887 (1437)

lryyy<$100

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Invested

$33.44

Value

$28.16

PnL

-$5.28

Record

45%

814-997 (1811)

tradecraftCTR<$100

BC Juventus Utena

Invested

$16.14

Value

$13.18

PnL

-$2.96

Record

31%

343-780 (1123)

poshposh<$100

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Invested

$15.71

Value

$13.12

PnL

-$2.59

Record

48%

1134-1214 (2348)

sentrio<$100

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

Invested

$8.36

Value

$9.22

PnL

+$0.86

Record

42%

1008-1381 (2389)

Research grade

AvoidBC Nevezis Kedainiai at 59%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

BC Nevezis Kedainiai

5 of 7 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BC Nevezis Kedainiai wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance61.2%

59.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$63.40

Max Loss

-$100.00

163.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.