Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Saint-Quentin — but Cholet won instead.

Saint-Quentin vs. Cholet

Resolved Cholet. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Saint-Quentin. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Saint-Quentin 88%

Total Value

$100

Combined PnL

-$231.5

Smart Money Signal

Saint-Quentin

7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Saint-Quentin0%

Cholet100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Saint-Quentin7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares636

Combined PnL-$277.71

Cholet1 trader

Total Value$100

Total Shares100

Combined PnL+$46.22

Saint-Quentin — 88%Cholet — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Saint-Quentinavg 25¢	$124.61	—	-$124.61	49% 4068-4262 (8330)
VeryLucky888	Choletavg 54¢	$62.93	$100	+$46.22	54% 1473-1278 (2751)
tradecraftCTR	Saint-Quentinavg 46.2¢	$112.89	—	-$112.89	31% 370-819 (1189)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100	Saint-Quentinavg 38.9¢	$23.5	—	-$14.51	83% 784-160 (944)
poshposhCTR<$100	Saint-Quentinavg 30¢	$13.35	—	-$13.35	49% 1212-1274 (2486)
VE VenusianCTR<$100	Saint-Quentinavg 41¢	$6.87	—	-$6.87	37% 1035-1784 (2819)
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100	Saint-Quentinavg 9¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	35% 394-728 (1122)
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100	Saint-Quentinavg 44¢	$4.4	—	-$4.4	37% 1053-1783 (2836)

Invested

$124.61

Value

—

PnL

-$124.61

Record

49%

4068-4262 (8330)

Invested

$62.93

Value

$100

PnL

+$46.22

Record

54%

1473-1278 (2751)

Invested

$112.89

Value

—

PnL

-$112.89

Record

31%

370-819 (1189)

ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100

Invested

$23.5

Value

—

PnL

-$14.51

Record

83%

784-160 (944)

poshposhCTR<$100

Invested

$13.35

Value

—

PnL

-$13.35

Record

49%

1212-1274 (2486)

VenusianCTR<$100

Invested

$6.87

Value

—

PnL

-$6.87

Record

37%

1035-1784 (2819)

SlickRick123CTR<$100

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

35%

394-728 (1122)

LightParadoxCTR<$100

Invested

$4.4

Value

—

PnL

-$4.4

Record

37%

1053-1783 (2836)

Smart Money Signal

Saint-Quentin

7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x46cc6d7c...1c87b2

Slug

bkfr1-sai-cho-2026-11-14

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Saint-Quentin — $0

VeryLucky888

Cholet — $100

tradecraft

Saint-Quentin — $0

ARTEM-DZYUBA

Saint-Quentin — $0

poshposh

Saint-Quentin — $0

Venusian

Saint-Quentin — $0

SlickRick123

Saint-Quentin — $0

LightParadox

Saint-Quentin — $0

Trade on Polymarket