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Penarol
poshposhCTR<$100PlatensePenarol
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Platense
alpheclabs2CTR<$100PlatensePlatensePlatense
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Platense — but Penarol won instead.
Platense vs. Penarol
Resolved Penarol. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Platense. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Platense 71%
Total Value
$171.67
Combined PnL
$10.61
Smart Money Signal
Platense
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Platense0%
Penarol100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Penarol2 traders
Total Value$171.67
Total Shares172
Combined PnL+$87.41
Platense5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares116
Combined PnL-$76.8
Penarol — 29%Platense — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Penarolavg 41.4¢ | $79.36 | $160.65 | +$81.28 | 51% 2141-2070 (4211) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Platenseavg 64.8¢ | $56.5 | — | -$56.5 | 48% 488-534 (1022) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Penarolavg 44.4¢ | $4.9 | $11.03 | +$6.13 | 45% 304-377 (681) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Platenseavg 49¢ | $7.97 | — | -$7.97 | 52% 597-541 (1138) |
alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Platenseavg 37¢ | $4.07 | — | -$4.07 | 44% 143-184 (327) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Platenseavg 57.2¢ | $5.85 | — | -$5.85 | 49% 973-998 (1971) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Platenseavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 31% 441-967 (1408) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$79.36
Value
$160.65
PnL
+$81.28
Record
51%
2141-2070 (4211)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$56.5
Value
—
PnL
-$56.5
Record
48%
488-534 (1022)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$11.03
PnL
+$6.13
Record
45%
304-377 (681)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$7.97
Value
—
PnL
-$7.97
Record
52%
597-541 (1138)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$4.07
Value
—
PnL
-$4.07
Record
44%
143-184 (327)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$5.85
Value
—
PnL
-$5.85
Record
49%
973-998 (1971)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
31%
441-967 (1408)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x241beeaf...499c8e
Slug
bkarg-pla-pen-2026-11-11