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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?
Resolved Up. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 29%
Total Value
$1.7K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 7 top traders (29%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9aff253c...4ba5bf
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-9-2026