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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 43%
Total Value
$1.6K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 7 top traders (43%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1702cc99...379059
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-10-2026