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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4AM ET
Resolved Down. 74.72369601035638% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 74.72369601035638%
Total Value
$6.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
6 of 8 top traders (74.72369601035638%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x188c75ef...a7fe72
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-5-2026-4am-et