Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Up 100%
Total Value
$5.7K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
14 of 14 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xfed350f3...1f6922
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-5-2026-3am-et