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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET
Resolved Down. 79.47452665652014% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Up 79.47452665652014%
Total Value
$2.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
9 of 11 top traders (79.47452665652014%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e36f74f...f615ce
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-22-2026-1am-et