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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
16
Down 75%
Total Value
$2.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
12 of 16 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa861d24c...641a4f
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-21-2026-11pm-et