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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Down 67%
Total Value
$3.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
9 of 14 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x50997d44...52712a
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-21-2026-2am-et