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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12AM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 70%
Total Value
$593.85
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 8 top traders (70%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe4061b7d...529c35
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-21-2026-12am-et